Recent short-range model consensus from sources like GFS and DWD points to a maximum of 26–28 °C in Paris on September 7, driven by moderate westerly flow, increasing cloud cover, and limited daytime heating under mostly cloudy skies with light winds. This places the day several degrees above the 1991–2020 climatological average high near 23 °C, yet well below historical extremes for the date. Small spreads among ensemble members and local urban effects create the tight clustering between 27 °C and 28 °C implied probabilities, while the modest chance of showers or thicker cloud decks could cap the peak a degree lower or allow brief clearing to push it slightly higher. Updated runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will narrow the final outcome.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Paris on September 7?
Highest temperature in Paris on September 7?
27°C 34%
28°C 27%
26°C 16%
29°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 7, 2026
24°C or below
4%
25°C
4%
26°C
16%
27°C
34%
28°C
27%
29°C
11%
30°C
6%
31°C
3%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
1%
27°C 34%
28°C 27%
26°C 16%
29°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 7, 2026
24°C or below
$0 Обс.
4%
25°C
$56 Обс.
4%
26°C
$80 Обс.
16%
27°C
$16 Обс.
34%
28°C
$91 Обс.
27%
29°C
$7 Обс.
11%
30°C
$0 Обс.
6%
31°C
$0 Обс.
3%
32°C
$0 Обс.
2%
33°C
$0 Обс.
1%
34°C or higher
$0 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model consensus from sources like GFS and DWD points to a maximum of 26–28 °C in Paris on September 7, driven by moderate westerly flow, increasing cloud cover, and limited daytime heating under mostly cloudy skies with light winds. This places the day several degrees above the 1991–2020 climatological average high near 23 °C, yet well below historical extremes for the date. Small spreads among ensemble members and local urban effects create the tight clustering between 27 °C and 28 °C implied probabilities, while the modest chance of showers or thicker cloud decks could cap the peak a degree lower or allow brief clearing to push it slightly higher. Updated runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will narrow the final outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 5, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Обсяг
$250Дата завершення
Sep 7, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 5, 2026, 12:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model consensus from sources like GFS and DWD points to a maximum of 26–28 °C in Paris on September 7, driven by moderate westerly flow, increasing cloud cover, and limited daytime heating under mostly cloudy skies with light winds. This places the day several degrees above the 1991–2020 climatological average high near 23 °C, yet well below historical extremes for the date. Small spreads among ensemble members and local urban effects create the tight clustering between 27 °C and 28 °C implied probabilities, while the modest chance of showers or thicker cloud decks could cap the peak a degree lower or allow brief clearing to push it slightly higher. Updated runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will narrow the final outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$250Дата завершення
Sep 7, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 5, 2026, 12:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range model consensus from sources like GFS and DWD points to a maximum of 26–28 °C in Paris on September 7, driven by moderate westerly flow, increasing cloud cover, and limited daytime heating under mostly cloudy skies with light winds. This places the day several degrees above the 1991–2020 climatological average high near 23 °C, yet well below historical extremes for the date. Small spreads among ensemble members and local urban effects create the tight clustering between 27 °C and 28 °C implied probabilities, while the modest chance of showers or thicker cloud decks could cap the peak a degree lower or allow brief clearing to push it slightly higher. Updated runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will narrow the final outcome.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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