Recent meteorological forecasts for Warsaw indicate a high-pressure system promoting mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions on September 12, with daytime highs centered around 19°C according to multiple model runs. This consensus, supported by stable atmospheric pressure near 1022 hPa and light northwest winds, underpins the market's strong tilt toward 19°C at 53.5% implied probability, followed by 20°C. Cooler outcomes like 18°C gain traction from overnight cooling and variable cloud cover, while warmer extremes remain unlikely given the absence of strong southerly flow or solar heating amplification. Updated short-range guidance from agencies shows minimal shifts over the past 24 hours, with resolution hinging on the precise maximum recorded by official stations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Warsaw on September 12?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on September 12?
19°C 47%
20°C 37%
18°C 14%
17°C 3%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 12, 2026
15°C or below
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
3%
18°C
14%
19°C
47%
20°C
37%
21°C
2%
22°C
2%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
19°C 47%
20°C 37%
18°C 14%
17°C 3%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 12, 2026
15°C or below
$170 Обс.
1%
16°C
$31 Обс.
2%
17°C
$122 Обс.
3%
18°C
$1,092 Обс.
14%
19°C
$707 Обс.
47%
20°C
$1,829 Обс.
37%
21°C
$300 Обс.
2%
22°C
$48 Обс.
2%
23°C
$145 Обс.
1%
24°C
$105 Обс.
<1%
25°C or higher
$437 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts for Warsaw indicate a high-pressure system promoting mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions on September 12, with daytime highs centered around 19°C according to multiple model runs. This consensus, supported by stable atmospheric pressure near 1022 hPa and light northwest winds, underpins the market's strong tilt toward 19°C at 53.5% implied probability, followed by 20°C. Cooler outcomes like 18°C gain traction from overnight cooling and variable cloud cover, while warmer extremes remain unlikely given the absence of strong southerly flow or solar heating amplification. Updated short-range guidance from agencies shows minimal shifts over the past 24 hours, with resolution hinging on the precise maximum recorded by official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Обсяг
$4,986Дата завершення
Sep 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts for Warsaw indicate a high-pressure system promoting mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions on September 12, with daytime highs centered around 19°C according to multiple model runs. This consensus, supported by stable atmospheric pressure near 1022 hPa and light northwest winds, underpins the market's strong tilt toward 19°C at 53.5% implied probability, followed by 20°C. Cooler outcomes like 18°C gain traction from overnight cooling and variable cloud cover, while warmer extremes remain unlikely given the absence of strong southerly flow or solar heating amplification. Updated short-range guidance from agencies shows minimal shifts over the past 24 hours, with resolution hinging on the precise maximum recorded by official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$4,986Дата завершення
Sep 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological forecasts for Warsaw indicate a high-pressure system promoting mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions on September 12, with daytime highs centered around 19°C according to multiple model runs. This consensus, supported by stable atmospheric pressure near 1022 hPa and light northwest winds, underpins the market's strong tilt toward 19°C at 53.5% implied probability, followed by 20°C. Cooler outcomes like 18°C gain traction from overnight cooling and variable cloud cover, while warmer extremes remain unlikely given the absence of strong southerly flow or solar heating amplification. Updated short-range guidance from agencies shows minimal shifts over the past 24 hours, with resolution hinging on the precise maximum recorded by official stations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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