**Trader consensus strongly favors 27°C as the lowest temperature in Shenzhen on September 12, 2026, with implied probability exceeding 93%.** Current forecasts from regional models show overnight lows stabilizing near this level amid typical subtropical conditions, including moderate humidity, light northeasterly winds, and scattered cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Historical September climatology for the region supports minimums averaging 25–27°C, with recent observations confirming daytime readings in the upper 20s to low 30s Celsius without sharp drops. Key resolution factors include official station measurements of the daily minimum, which could shift if a stronger-than-expected sea breeze or localized shower enhances cooling. Updated model runs or real-time station data remain the primary catalysts for any late adjustments.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Shenzhen on September 12?
Lowest temperature in Shenzhen on September 12?
21°C or below 94%
27°C 93.5%
22°C 50%
23°C 48%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 12, 2026
21°C or below
94%
22°C
50%
23°C
48%
24°C
48%
25°C
28%
26°C
34%
27°C
94%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
21°C or below 94%
27°C 93.5%
22°C 50%
23°C 48%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 12, 2026
21°C or below
$0 Обс.
94%
22°C
$0 Обс.
50%
23°C
$15 Обс.
48%
24°C
$47 Обс.
48%
25°C
$30 Обс.
28%
26°C
$52 Обс.
34%
27°C
$50 Обс.
94%
28°C
$30 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$45 Обс.
<1%
30°C
$35 Обс.
<1%
31°C or higher
$25 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors 27°C as the lowest temperature in Shenzhen on September 12, 2026, with implied probability exceeding 93%.** Current forecasts from regional models show overnight lows stabilizing near this level amid typical subtropical conditions, including moderate humidity, light northeasterly winds, and scattered cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Historical September climatology for the region supports minimums averaging 25–27°C, with recent observations confirming daytime readings in the upper 20s to low 30s Celsius without sharp drops. Key resolution factors include official station measurements of the daily minimum, which could shift if a stronger-than-expected sea breeze or localized shower enhances cooling. Updated model runs or real-time station data remain the primary catalysts for any late adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$329Дата завершення
Sep 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors 27°C as the lowest temperature in Shenzhen on September 12, 2026, with implied probability exceeding 93%.** Current forecasts from regional models show overnight lows stabilizing near this level amid typical subtropical conditions, including moderate humidity, light northeasterly winds, and scattered cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Historical September climatology for the region supports minimums averaging 25–27°C, with recent observations confirming daytime readings in the upper 20s to low 30s Celsius without sharp drops. Key resolution factors include official station measurements of the daily minimum, which could shift if a stronger-than-expected sea breeze or localized shower enhances cooling. Updated model runs or real-time station data remain the primary catalysts for any late adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$329Дата завершення
Sep 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus strongly favors 27°C as the lowest temperature in Shenzhen on September 12, 2026, with implied probability exceeding 93%.** Current forecasts from regional models show overnight lows stabilizing near this level amid typical subtropical conditions, including moderate humidity, light northeasterly winds, and scattered cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Historical September climatology for the region supports minimums averaging 25–27°C, with recent observations confirming daytime readings in the upper 20s to low 30s Celsius without sharp drops. Key resolution factors include official station measurements of the daily minimum, which could shift if a stronger-than-expected sea breeze or localized shower enhances cooling. Updated model runs or real-time station data remain the primary catalysts for any late adjustments.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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