Current forecasts from National Weather Service models and other sources indicate Miami overnight lows on September 18 will likely settle in the mid to upper 70s°F, driven by typical late-summer subtropical conditions with high humidity, scattered showers or thunderstorms, and light northeast winds that limit radiational cooling. These align closely with the historical average low of 76.8°F and explain why the 76-77°F bin leads at 43% implied probability, followed by 78-79°F and 74-75°F. No strong cold front or unusual atmospheric setup is expected to push readings toward record territory near 69°F or above 80°F. Traders are weighting the consensus model runs and recent pattern persistence, with resolution hinging on official minimum readings at Miami International Airport.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Miami on September 18?
Lowest temperature in Miami on September 18?
76-77°F 43%
78-79°F 25%
74-75°F 24%
72-73°F 14%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 18, 2026
69°F or below
4%
70-71°F
7%
72-73°F
14%
74-75°F
24%
76-77°F
43%
78-79°F
25%
80-81°F
6%
82-83°F
11%
84-85°F
7%
86-87°F
1%
88°F or higher
1%
76-77°F 43%
78-79°F 25%
74-75°F 24%
72-73°F 14%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 18, 2026
69°F or below
$0 Обс.
4%
70-71°F
$0 Обс.
7%
72-73°F
$82 Обс.
14%
74-75°F
$74 Обс.
24%
76-77°F
$376 Обс.
43%
78-79°F
$794 Обс.
25%
80-81°F
$48 Обс.
6%
82-83°F
$0 Обс.
11%
84-85°F
$0 Обс.
7%
86-87°F
$48 Обс.
1%
88°F or higher
$348 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from National Weather Service models and other sources indicate Miami overnight lows on September 18 will likely settle in the mid to upper 70s°F, driven by typical late-summer subtropical conditions with high humidity, scattered showers or thunderstorms, and light northeast winds that limit radiational cooling. These align closely with the historical average low of 76.8°F and explain why the 76-77°F bin leads at 43% implied probability, followed by 78-79°F and 74-75°F. No strong cold front or unusual atmospheric setup is expected to push readings toward record territory near 69°F or above 80°F. Traders are weighting the consensus model runs and recent pattern persistence, with resolution hinging on official minimum readings at Miami International Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 16, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,769Дата завершення
Sep 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 16, 2026, 3:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from National Weather Service models and other sources indicate Miami overnight lows on September 18 will likely settle in the mid to upper 70s°F, driven by typical late-summer subtropical conditions with high humidity, scattered showers or thunderstorms, and light northeast winds that limit radiational cooling. These align closely with the historical average low of 76.8°F and explain why the 76-77°F bin leads at 43% implied probability, followed by 78-79°F and 74-75°F. No strong cold front or unusual atmospheric setup is expected to push readings toward record territory near 69°F or above 80°F. Traders are weighting the consensus model runs and recent pattern persistence, with resolution hinging on official minimum readings at Miami International Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,769Дата завершення
Sep 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 16, 2026, 3:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from National Weather Service models and other sources indicate Miami overnight lows on September 18 will likely settle in the mid to upper 70s°F, driven by typical late-summer subtropical conditions with high humidity, scattered showers or thunderstorms, and light northeast winds that limit radiational cooling. These align closely with the historical average low of 76.8°F and explain why the 76-77°F bin leads at 43% implied probability, followed by 78-79°F and 74-75°F. No strong cold front or unusual atmospheric setup is expected to push readings toward record territory near 69°F or above 80°F. Traders are weighting the consensus model runs and recent pattern persistence, with resolution hinging on official minimum readings at Miami International Airport.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання