Forecast consensus from multiple models places Beijing's September 22 high near 29–30°C, aligning with the market's leading 30°C outcome at 53.5% implied probability. Southerly flow and partly cloudy conditions are expected to moderate temperatures during the seasonal transition, with light winds and low precipitation risk limiting both cooling and extreme warming. Recent observations show daily highs of 27–29°C, consistent with climatological norms for late September rather than anomalous heat. Model spreads introduce modest uncertainty around exact peaks, though none currently support significant deviation toward 33°C or higher or sub-28°C readings. Updated National Meteorological Center guidance ahead of the date will provide the key resolution inputs for traders.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Beijing on September 22?
Highest temperature in Beijing on September 22?
30°C 48%
31°C 29%
29°C 20%
34°C 15%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 22, 2026
25°C or below
4%
26°C
4%
27°C
4%
28°C
10%
29°C
20%
30°C
47%
31°C
34%
32°C
5%
33°C
14%
34°C
15%
35°C or higher
14%
30°C 48%
31°C 29%
29°C 20%
34°C 15%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 22, 2026
25°C or below
$0 Обс.
4%
26°C
$0 Обс.
4%
27°C
$0 Обс.
4%
28°C
$101 Обс.
10%
29°C
$165 Обс.
20%
30°C
$288 Обс.
47%
31°C
$297 Обс.
34%
32°C
$136 Обс.
5%
33°C
$0 Обс.
14%
34°C
$0 Обс.
15%
35°C or higher
$0 Обс.
14%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from multiple models places Beijing's September 22 high near 29–30°C, aligning with the market's leading 30°C outcome at 53.5% implied probability. Southerly flow and partly cloudy conditions are expected to moderate temperatures during the seasonal transition, with light winds and low precipitation risk limiting both cooling and extreme warming. Recent observations show daily highs of 27–29°C, consistent with climatological norms for late September rather than anomalous heat. Model spreads introduce modest uncertainty around exact peaks, though none currently support significant deviation toward 33°C or higher or sub-28°C readings. Updated National Meteorological Center guidance ahead of the date will provide the key resolution inputs for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Обсяг
$987Дата завершення
Sep 22, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from multiple models places Beijing's September 22 high near 29–30°C, aligning with the market's leading 30°C outcome at 53.5% implied probability. Southerly flow and partly cloudy conditions are expected to moderate temperatures during the seasonal transition, with light winds and low precipitation risk limiting both cooling and extreme warming. Recent observations show daily highs of 27–29°C, consistent with climatological norms for late September rather than anomalous heat. Model spreads introduce modest uncertainty around exact peaks, though none currently support significant deviation toward 33°C or higher or sub-28°C readings. Updated National Meteorological Center guidance ahead of the date will provide the key resolution inputs for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$987Дата завершення
Sep 22, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from multiple models places Beijing's September 22 high near 29–30°C, aligning with the market's leading 30°C outcome at 53.5% implied probability. Southerly flow and partly cloudy conditions are expected to moderate temperatures during the seasonal transition, with light winds and low precipitation risk limiting both cooling and extreme warming. Recent observations show daily highs of 27–29°C, consistent with climatological norms for late September rather than anomalous heat. Model spreads introduce modest uncertainty around exact peaks, though none currently support significant deviation toward 33°C or higher or sub-28°C readings. Updated National Meteorological Center guidance ahead of the date will provide the key resolution inputs for traders.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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