Recent numerical weather prediction models show notable spread for Moscow's maximum temperature on September 22, with ensemble guidance clustering near 16–18°C amid a transitioning synoptic pattern featuring southerly flow and increasing moisture. Official outlooks from agencies indicate a chance of showers or overcast conditions that could suppress daytime highs through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling, while clearer intervals might allow peaks near 18°C. Late-September climatology places average highs around 15–17°C, providing baseline context, though short-range model updates from sources like GFS and ECMWF will refine the precise maximum before resolution. Traders appear to weigh these variables, with closely matched probabilities reflecting genuine forecast uncertainty rather than strong consensus on any single threshold.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Moscow on September 22?
Highest temperature in Moscow on September 22?
18°C 32%
15°C 28%
17°C 26%
14°C 18%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 22, 2026
11°C or below
2%
12°C
3%
13°C
4%
14°C
18%
15°C
28%
16°C
18%
17°C
26%
18°C
32%
19°C
18%
20°C
10%
21°C or higher
9%
18°C 32%
15°C 28%
17°C 26%
14°C 18%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 22, 2026
11°C or below
$0 Обс.
2%
12°C
$0 Обс.
3%
13°C
$0 Обс.
4%
14°C
$0 Обс.
18%
15°C
$0 Обс.
28%
16°C
$5 Обс.
18%
17°C
$0 Обс.
26%
18°C
$4 Обс.
32%
19°C
$0 Обс.
18%
20°C
$0 Обс.
10%
21°C or higher
$15 Обс.
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models show notable spread for Moscow's maximum temperature on September 22, with ensemble guidance clustering near 16–18°C amid a transitioning synoptic pattern featuring southerly flow and increasing moisture. Official outlooks from agencies indicate a chance of showers or overcast conditions that could suppress daytime highs through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling, while clearer intervals might allow peaks near 18°C. Late-September climatology places average highs around 15–17°C, providing baseline context, though short-range model updates from sources like GFS and ECMWF will refine the precise maximum before resolution. Traders appear to weigh these variables, with closely matched probabilities reflecting genuine forecast uncertainty rather than strong consensus on any single threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Обсяг
$24Дата завершення
Sep 22, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models show notable spread for Moscow's maximum temperature on September 22, with ensemble guidance clustering near 16–18°C amid a transitioning synoptic pattern featuring southerly flow and increasing moisture. Official outlooks from agencies indicate a chance of showers or overcast conditions that could suppress daytime highs through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling, while clearer intervals might allow peaks near 18°C. Late-September climatology places average highs around 15–17°C, providing baseline context, though short-range model updates from sources like GFS and ECMWF will refine the precise maximum before resolution. Traders appear to weigh these variables, with closely matched probabilities reflecting genuine forecast uncertainty rather than strong consensus on any single threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$24Дата завершення
Sep 22, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models show notable spread for Moscow's maximum temperature on September 22, with ensemble guidance clustering near 16–18°C amid a transitioning synoptic pattern featuring southerly flow and increasing moisture. Official outlooks from agencies indicate a chance of showers or overcast conditions that could suppress daytime highs through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling, while clearer intervals might allow peaks near 18°C. Late-September climatology places average highs around 15–17°C, providing baseline context, though short-range model updates from sources like GFS and ECMWF will refine the precise maximum before resolution. Traders appear to weigh these variables, with closely matched probabilities reflecting genuine forecast uncertainty rather than strong consensus on any single threshold.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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