Current forecasts for Moscow on September 22 indicate a moderating influence from an approaching frontal system with southeasterly winds, high humidity near 80-90%, and widespread cloud cover plus showers that limit radiative cooling overnight. Ensemble model guidance clusters minimum temperatures in the 11-14°C range, yet divergence in exact timing of precipitation and cloud thickness creates uncertainty between stronger cooling under clearer breaks versus retained warmth from trapped longwave radiation and warm advection. This genuine forecast spread underpins the near-even market-implied odds between sub-8°C and 17°C+ outcomes, with resolution hinging on final observational data from local stations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Moscow on September 22?
Lowest temperature in Moscow on September 22?
17°C or higher 96%
7°C or below 92%
10°C 40%
11°C 40%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 22, 2026
7°C or below
92%
8°C
18%
9°C
19%
10°C
40%
11°C
40%
12°C
27%
13°C
40%
14°C
40%
15°C
40%
16°C
18%
17°C or higher
96%
17°C or higher 96%
7°C or below 92%
10°C 40%
11°C 40%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 22, 2026
7°C or below
$0 Обс.
92%
8°C
$0 Обс.
18%
9°C
$0 Обс.
19%
10°C
$0 Обс.
40%
11°C
$0 Обс.
40%
12°C
$0 Обс.
27%
13°C
$0 Обс.
40%
14°C
$0 Обс.
40%
15°C
$0 Обс.
40%
16°C
$0 Обс.
18%
17°C or higher
$0 Обс.
96%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Moscow on September 22 indicate a moderating influence from an approaching frontal system with southeasterly winds, high humidity near 80-90%, and widespread cloud cover plus showers that limit radiative cooling overnight. Ensemble model guidance clusters minimum temperatures in the 11-14°C range, yet divergence in exact timing of precipitation and cloud thickness creates uncertainty between stronger cooling under clearer breaks versus retained warmth from trapped longwave radiation and warm advection. This genuine forecast spread underpins the near-even market-implied odds between sub-8°C and 17°C+ outcomes, with resolution hinging on final observational data from local stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 20, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 22, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 20, 2026, 12:31 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Moscow on September 22 indicate a moderating influence from an approaching frontal system with southeasterly winds, high humidity near 80-90%, and widespread cloud cover plus showers that limit radiative cooling overnight. Ensemble model guidance clusters minimum temperatures in the 11-14°C range, yet divergence in exact timing of precipitation and cloud thickness creates uncertainty between stronger cooling under clearer breaks versus retained warmth from trapped longwave radiation and warm advection. This genuine forecast spread underpins the near-even market-implied odds between sub-8°C and 17°C+ outcomes, with resolution hinging on final observational data from local stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 22, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 20, 2026, 12:31 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts for Moscow on September 22 indicate a moderating influence from an approaching frontal system with southeasterly winds, high humidity near 80-90%, and widespread cloud cover plus showers that limit radiative cooling overnight. Ensemble model guidance clusters minimum temperatures in the 11-14°C range, yet divergence in exact timing of precipitation and cloud thickness creates uncertainty between stronger cooling under clearer breaks versus retained warmth from trapped longwave radiation and warm advection. This genuine forecast spread underpins the near-even market-implied odds between sub-8°C and 17°C+ outcomes, with resolution hinging on final observational data from local stations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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