Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble forecasts position a 22–23°C maximum as the leading outcomes for London on September 21, driven by high pressure maintaining clear to mostly sunny skies and light westerly winds. Daytime radiative heating under these stable conditions supports afternoon peaks in that narrow range, consistent with current model consensus and slightly above the late-September climatological average. Minor spread in guidance arises from potential thin high cloud or small timing shifts in the thermal peak, keeping 21°C and 24°C as plausible alternatives with lower implied probabilities. Updated model runs and any overnight observations will further refine resolution criteria ahead of the daily high.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in London on September 21?
Highest temperature in London on September 21?
22°C 45%
23°C 29%
24°C 13%
21°C 12%
НОВЕ
$25,029 Обс.
НОВЕ
$25,029 Обс.
Sep 21, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
3%
21°C
12%
22°C
45%
23°C
29%
24°C
13%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
22°C 45%
23°C 29%
24°C 13%
21°C 12%
НОВЕ
$25,029 Обс.
НОВЕ
$25,029 Обс.
Sep 21, 2026
18°C or below
$166 Обс.
<1%
19°C
$946 Обс.
1%
20°C
$1,708 Обс.
3%
21°C
$3,056 Обс.
12%
22°C
$5,858 Обс.
45%
23°C
$6,042 Обс.
29%
24°C
$4,111 Обс.
13%
25°C
$2,247 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$315 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$290 Обс.
<1%
28°C or higher
$291 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble forecasts position a 22–23°C maximum as the leading outcomes for London on September 21, driven by high pressure maintaining clear to mostly sunny skies and light westerly winds. Daytime radiative heating under these stable conditions supports afternoon peaks in that narrow range, consistent with current model consensus and slightly above the late-September climatological average. Minor spread in guidance arises from potential thin high cloud or small timing shifts in the thermal peak, keeping 21°C and 24°C as plausible alternatives with lower implied probabilities. Updated model runs and any overnight observations will further refine resolution criteria ahead of the daily high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 19, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Обсяг
$25,029Дата завершення
Sep 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 19, 2026, 12:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble forecasts position a 22–23°C maximum as the leading outcomes for London on September 21, driven by high pressure maintaining clear to mostly sunny skies and light westerly winds. Daytime radiative heating under these stable conditions supports afternoon peaks in that narrow range, consistent with current model consensus and slightly above the late-September climatological average. Minor spread in guidance arises from potential thin high cloud or small timing shifts in the thermal peak, keeping 21°C and 24°C as plausible alternatives with lower implied probabilities. Updated model runs and any overnight observations will further refine resolution criteria ahead of the daily high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$25,029Дата завершення
Sep 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 19, 2026, 12:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble forecasts position a 22–23°C maximum as the leading outcomes for London on September 21, driven by high pressure maintaining clear to mostly sunny skies and light westerly winds. Daytime radiative heating under these stable conditions supports afternoon peaks in that narrow range, consistent with current model consensus and slightly above the late-September climatological average. Minor spread in guidance arises from potential thin high cloud or small timing shifts in the thermal peak, keeping 21°C and 24°C as plausible alternatives with lower implied probabilities. Updated model runs and any overnight observations will further refine resolution criteria ahead of the daily high.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання