Mild atmospheric conditions overnight have anchored trader consensus around an 11°C low for London on September 21, with market-implied odds at 100% for that outcome versus just 0.1% for 8°C or below. Official Met Office guidance and station data indicate minimum temperatures near 9–13°C under partly clear skies and light southerly flow, consistent with late-September climatology where radiational cooling is moderated by residual warmth and weak pressure gradients. No significant cold-air advection or stronger high-pressure setup materialized to drive deeper nocturnal drops. While forecast models carry small uncertainty ranges from localized microclimates or measurement timing, a plunge below 8°C would require atypical clear-sky intensification or unmodeled wind shifts not supported by current observations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in London on September 21?
Lowest temperature in London on September 21?
11°C 100%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$9,110 Обс.
$9,110 Обс.
Sep 21, 2026
8°C or below
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
Yes
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C or higher
No
11°C 100%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$9,110 Обс.
$9,110 Обс.
Sep 21, 2026
8°C or below
$795 Обс.
No
9°C
$376 Обс.
No
10°C
$2,086 Обс.
No
11°C
$2,131 Обс.
Yes
12°C
$2,718 Обс.
No
13°C
$733 Обс.
No
14°C
$146 Обс.
No
15°C
$31 Обс.
No
16°C
$31 Обс.
No
17°C
$31 Обс.
No
18°C or higher
$31 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Mild atmospheric conditions overnight have anchored trader consensus around an 11°C low for London on September 21, with market-implied odds at 100% for that outcome versus just 0.1% for 8°C or below. Official Met Office guidance and station data indicate minimum temperatures near 9–13°C under partly clear skies and light southerly flow, consistent with late-September climatology where radiational cooling is moderated by residual warmth and weak pressure gradients. No significant cold-air advection or stronger high-pressure setup materialized to drive deeper nocturnal drops. While forecast models carry small uncertainty ranges from localized microclimates or measurement timing, a plunge below 8°C would require atypical clear-sky intensification or unmodeled wind shifts not supported by current observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 19, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$9,110Дата завершення
Sep 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 19, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcВирішувач
0x69c47de9d...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Mild atmospheric conditions overnight have anchored trader consensus around an 11°C low for London on September 21, with market-implied odds at 100% for that outcome versus just 0.1% for 8°C or below. Official Met Office guidance and station data indicate minimum temperatures near 9–13°C under partly clear skies and light southerly flow, consistent with late-September climatology where radiational cooling is moderated by residual warmth and weak pressure gradients. No significant cold-air advection or stronger high-pressure setup materialized to drive deeper nocturnal drops. While forecast models carry small uncertainty ranges from localized microclimates or measurement timing, a plunge below 8°C would require atypical clear-sky intensification or unmodeled wind shifts not supported by current observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$9,110Дата завершення
Sep 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 19, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcВирішувач
0x69c47de9d...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Mild atmospheric conditions overnight have anchored trader consensus around an 11°C low for London on September 21, with market-implied odds at 100% for that outcome versus just 0.1% for 8°C or below. Official Met Office guidance and station data indicate minimum temperatures near 9–13°C under partly clear skies and light southerly flow, consistent with late-September climatology where radiational cooling is moderated by residual warmth and weak pressure gradients. No significant cold-air advection or stronger high-pressure setup materialized to drive deeper nocturnal drops. While forecast models carry small uncertainty ranges from localized microclimates or measurement timing, a plunge below 8°C would require atypical clear-sky intensification or unmodeled wind shifts not supported by current observations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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