Current forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting numerical models indicate a peak temperature near 22°C for Toronto on September 25 under sunny skies, light northerly winds, and a stable dry air mass, positioning this outcome as the market leader at 36.5% implied probability. Consensus across guidance shows highs clustered between 20–23°C, with 21°C and 20°C as close contenders reflecting minor model spread in afternoon mixing and boundary-layer details. Historical September averages near 17°C underscore the anomalously mild pattern driven by high pressure. Traders are monitoring the next 48-hour model runs and official updates for any shifts ahead of resolution based on verified daily maximum observations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Toronto on September 25?
22°C 32%
21°C 27%
20°C 23%
23°C 22%
16°C or below
6%
17°C
4%
18°C
5%
19°C
16%
20°C
23%
21°C
27%
22°C
32%
23°C
22%
24°C
8%
25°C
5%
26°C or higher
2%
22°C 32%
21°C 27%
20°C 23%
23°C 22%
16°C or below
6%
17°C
4%
18°C
5%
19°C
16%
20°C
23%
21°C
27%
22°C
32%
23°C
22%
24°C
8%
25°C
5%
26°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 23, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting numerical models indicate a peak temperature near 22°C for Toronto on September 25 under sunny skies, light northerly winds, and a stable dry air mass, positioning this outcome as the market leader at 36.5% implied probability. Consensus across guidance shows highs clustered between 20–23°C, with 21°C and 20°C as close contenders reflecting minor model spread in afternoon mixing and boundary-layer details. Historical September averages near 17°C underscore the anomalously mild pattern driven by high pressure. Traders are monitoring the next 48-hour model runs and official updates for any shifts ahead of resolution based on verified daily maximum observations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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