Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and supporting models point to a Los Angeles high on September 25 in the upper 70s to low 80s, shaped by a persistent marine layer and moderate onshore flow that limits daytime heating. This setup, common in late September, introduces uncertainty around cloud timing and boundary layer mixing, which can differentiate outcomes near 78–81°F. Recent days have featured highs near 86°F, above the 1991–2020 average of 75.6°F for the date, yet strengthening sea breezes and patchy low clouds favor the lower end of projections. Market-implied odds reflect traders weighing these variables against model consensus and historical analogs, with new forecast updates expected to refine probabilities before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Los Angeles on September 25?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on September 25?
78-79°F 33%
76-77°F 28%
80-81°F 21%
74-75°F 14%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 25, 2026
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
14%
76-77°F
28%
78-79°F
33%
80-81°F
21%
82-83°F
7%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
78-79°F 33%
76-77°F 28%
80-81°F 21%
74-75°F 14%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 25, 2026
73°F or below
$105 Обс.
<1%
74-75°F
$776 Обс.
14%
76-77°F
$2,074 Обс.
28%
78-79°F
$638 Обс.
33%
80-81°F
$1,138 Обс.
21%
82-83°F
$380 Обс.
7%
84-85°F
$453 Обс.
2%
86-87°F
$133 Обс.
1%
88-89°F
$105 Обс.
<1%
90-91°F
$100 Обс.
<1%
92°F or higher
$145 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and supporting models point to a Los Angeles high on September 25 in the upper 70s to low 80s, shaped by a persistent marine layer and moderate onshore flow that limits daytime heating. This setup, common in late September, introduces uncertainty around cloud timing and boundary layer mixing, which can differentiate outcomes near 78–81°F. Recent days have featured highs near 86°F, above the 1991–2020 average of 75.6°F for the date, yet strengthening sea breezes and patchy low clouds favor the lower end of projections. Market-implied odds reflect traders weighing these variables against model consensus and historical analogs, with new forecast updates expected to refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 23, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$6,047Дата завершення
Sep 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 23, 2026, 7:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxВирішувач
0x69c47de9d...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and supporting models point to a Los Angeles high on September 25 in the upper 70s to low 80s, shaped by a persistent marine layer and moderate onshore flow that limits daytime heating. This setup, common in late September, introduces uncertainty around cloud timing and boundary layer mixing, which can differentiate outcomes near 78–81°F. Recent days have featured highs near 86°F, above the 1991–2020 average of 75.6°F for the date, yet strengthening sea breezes and patchy low clouds favor the lower end of projections. Market-implied odds reflect traders weighing these variables against model consensus and historical analogs, with new forecast updates expected to refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$6,047Дата завершення
Sep 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 23, 2026, 7:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxВирішувач
0x69c47de9d...Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and supporting models point to a Los Angeles high on September 25 in the upper 70s to low 80s, shaped by a persistent marine layer and moderate onshore flow that limits daytime heating. This setup, common in late September, introduces uncertainty around cloud timing and boundary layer mixing, which can differentiate outcomes near 78–81°F. Recent days have featured highs near 86°F, above the 1991–2020 average of 75.6°F for the date, yet strengthening sea breezes and patchy low clouds favor the lower end of projections. Market-implied odds reflect traders weighing these variables against model consensus and historical analogs, with new forecast updates expected to refine probabilities before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання