Current forecast guidance from ECMWF, GFS, and regional models indicates Amsterdam will experience mild conditions on September 26, with overnight lows likely near 12–14°C under building high pressure and light southerly flow. This setup favors limited radiative cooling overnight, keeping minimum temperatures above historical averages near 10°C. The near-even market split between 8°C or below and 18°C or higher reflects model spread on boundary-layer moisture, cloud cover, and any late frontal influence that could either enhance cooling or sustain warmer advection. Clearer skies would favor the lower end via greater heat loss, while increased humidity or wind would support milder readings. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will narrow resolution criteria for the daily minimum.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Amsterdam on September 26?
Lowest temperature in Amsterdam on September 26?
18°C or higher 98%
11°C 40%
12°C 40%
13°C 40%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 26, 2026
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
39%
10°C
39%
11°C
40%
12°C
40%
13°C
40%
14°C
39%
15°C
39%
16°C
39%
17°C
39%
18°C or higher
98%
18°C or higher 98%
11°C 40%
12°C 40%
13°C 40%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 26, 2026
8°C or below
$0 Обс.
<1%
9°C
$0 Обс.
39%
10°C
$0 Обс.
39%
11°C
$0 Обс.
40%
12°C
$0 Обс.
40%
13°C
$0 Обс.
40%
14°C
$0 Обс.
39%
15°C
$0 Обс.
39%
16°C
$0 Обс.
39%
17°C
$0 Обс.
39%
18°C or higher
$0 Обс.
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast guidance from ECMWF, GFS, and regional models indicates Amsterdam will experience mild conditions on September 26, with overnight lows likely near 12–14°C under building high pressure and light southerly flow. This setup favors limited radiative cooling overnight, keeping minimum temperatures above historical averages near 10°C. The near-even market split between 8°C or below and 18°C or higher reflects model spread on boundary-layer moisture, cloud cover, and any late frontal influence that could either enhance cooling or sustain warmer advection. Clearer skies would favor the lower end via greater heat loss, while increased humidity or wind would support milder readings. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will narrow resolution criteria for the daily minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 26, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamВирішувач
0x69c47de9d...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast guidance from ECMWF, GFS, and regional models indicates Amsterdam will experience mild conditions on September 26, with overnight lows likely near 12–14°C under building high pressure and light southerly flow. This setup favors limited radiative cooling overnight, keeping minimum temperatures above historical averages near 10°C. The near-even market split between 8°C or below and 18°C or higher reflects model spread on boundary-layer moisture, cloud cover, and any late frontal influence that could either enhance cooling or sustain warmer advection. Clearer skies would favor the lower end via greater heat loss, while increased humidity or wind would support milder readings. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will narrow resolution criteria for the daily minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 26, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamВирішувач
0x69c47de9d...Current forecast guidance from ECMWF, GFS, and regional models indicates Amsterdam will experience mild conditions on September 26, with overnight lows likely near 12–14°C under building high pressure and light southerly flow. This setup favors limited radiative cooling overnight, keeping minimum temperatures above historical averages near 10°C. The near-even market split between 8°C or below and 18°C or higher reflects model spread on boundary-layer moisture, cloud cover, and any late frontal influence that could either enhance cooling or sustain warmer advection. Clearer skies would favor the lower end via greater heat loss, while increased humidity or wind would support milder readings. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will narrow resolution criteria for the daily minimum.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання