Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance indicate a typical late-September marine layer influence over Los Angeles, with morning low clouds and fog giving way to partly sunny conditions and light onshore southwest flow. This pattern supports a highest temperature most likely in the upper 70s, aligning with the market’s leading 78-79°F (42%) and 76-77°F (29.5%) outcomes. Current runs show afternoon highs near 79–82°F at official stations, consistent with the seasonal average of 75.6°F but slightly elevated by recent warmer-than-normal September conditions. No significant model shifts or offshore wind development have emerged in the past 48 hours to push probabilities toward the 80°F+ bins. Updated forecasts and morning observations on September 24 will determine final resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Los Angeles on September 24?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on September 24?
78-79°F 42%
76-77°F 30%
80-81°F 17%
74-75°F 11%
НОВЕ
$10,035 Обс.
НОВЕ
$10,035 Обс.
Sep 24, 2026
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
11%
76-77°F
30%
78-79°F
42%
80-81°F
17%
82-83°F
5%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
78-79°F 42%
76-77°F 30%
80-81°F 17%
74-75°F 11%
НОВЕ
$10,035 Обс.
НОВЕ
$10,035 Обс.
Sep 24, 2026
71°F or below
$155 Обс.
<1%
72-73°F
$235 Обс.
<1%
74-75°F
$1,696 Обс.
11%
76-77°F
$2,719 Обс.
30%
78-79°F
$2,526 Обс.
42%
80-81°F
$1,348 Обс.
17%
82-83°F
$786 Обс.
5%
84-85°F
$135 Обс.
<1%
86-87°F
$130 Обс.
<1%
88-89°F
$200 Обс.
<1%
90°F or higher
$105 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance indicate a typical late-September marine layer influence over Los Angeles, with morning low clouds and fog giving way to partly sunny conditions and light onshore southwest flow. This pattern supports a highest temperature most likely in the upper 70s, aligning with the market’s leading 78-79°F (42%) and 76-77°F (29.5%) outcomes. Current runs show afternoon highs near 79–82°F at official stations, consistent with the seasonal average of 75.6°F but slightly elevated by recent warmer-than-normal September conditions. No significant model shifts or offshore wind development have emerged in the past 48 hours to push probabilities toward the 80°F+ bins. Updated forecasts and morning observations on September 24 will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 22, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$10,035Дата завершення
Sep 24, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 22, 2026, 7:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance indicate a typical late-September marine layer influence over Los Angeles, with morning low clouds and fog giving way to partly sunny conditions and light onshore southwest flow. This pattern supports a highest temperature most likely in the upper 70s, aligning with the market’s leading 78-79°F (42%) and 76-77°F (29.5%) outcomes. Current runs show afternoon highs near 79–82°F at official stations, consistent with the seasonal average of 75.6°F but slightly elevated by recent warmer-than-normal September conditions. No significant model shifts or offshore wind development have emerged in the past 48 hours to push probabilities toward the 80°F+ bins. Updated forecasts and morning observations on September 24 will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$10,035Дата завершення
Sep 24, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 22, 2026, 7:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance indicate a typical late-September marine layer influence over Los Angeles, with morning low clouds and fog giving way to partly sunny conditions and light onshore southwest flow. This pattern supports a highest temperature most likely in the upper 70s, aligning with the market’s leading 78-79°F (42%) and 76-77°F (29.5%) outcomes. Current runs show afternoon highs near 79–82°F at official stations, consistent with the seasonal average of 75.6°F but slightly elevated by recent warmer-than-normal September conditions. No significant model shifts or offshore wind development have emerged in the past 48 hours to push probabilities toward the 80°F+ bins. Updated forecasts and morning observations on September 24 will determine final resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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