Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources including GFS and ECMWF consensus indicate a high of 25–26 °C in Paris on September 23 under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies, with light northeast winds and minimal precipitation risk supporting the market’s 54 % implied probability on 26 °C. These conditions reflect a ridge of high pressure promoting subsidence and clear air, yielding daytime maxima several degrees above the 1991–2020 average high of 20.4 °C. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, with limited upside to 27 °C or downside to 24 °C, while updated runs expected from major centers in the next 24–48 hours could refine the exact peak before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Paris on September 23?
Highest temperature in Paris on September 23?
26°C 54%
25°C 26%
24°C 18%
23°C 15%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 23, 2026
21°C or below
3%
22°C
4%
23°C
15%
24°C
18%
25°C
20%
26°C
54%
27°C
15%
28°C
8%
29°C
2%
30°C
3%
31°C or higher
3%
26°C 54%
25°C 26%
24°C 18%
23°C 15%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 23, 2026
21°C or below
$5 Обс.
3%
22°C
$5 Обс.
4%
23°C
$5 Обс.
15%
24°C
$200 Обс.
18%
25°C
$10 Обс.
20%
26°C
$388 Обс.
54%
27°C
$16 Обс.
15%
28°C
$8 Обс.
8%
29°C
$5 Обс.
2%
30°C
$5 Обс.
3%
31°C or higher
$5 Обс.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources including GFS and ECMWF consensus indicate a high of 25–26 °C in Paris on September 23 under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies, with light northeast winds and minimal precipitation risk supporting the market’s 54 % implied probability on 26 °C. These conditions reflect a ridge of high pressure promoting subsidence and clear air, yielding daytime maxima several degrees above the 1991–2020 average high of 20.4 °C. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, with limited upside to 27 °C or downside to 24 °C, while updated runs expected from major centers in the next 24–48 hours could refine the exact peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 21, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Обсяг
$652Дата завершення
Sep 23, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 21, 2026, 12:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources including GFS and ECMWF consensus indicate a high of 25–26 °C in Paris on September 23 under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies, with light northeast winds and minimal precipitation risk supporting the market’s 54 % implied probability on 26 °C. These conditions reflect a ridge of high pressure promoting subsidence and clear air, yielding daytime maxima several degrees above the 1991–2020 average high of 20.4 °C. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, with limited upside to 27 °C or downside to 24 °C, while updated runs expected from major centers in the next 24–48 hours could refine the exact peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$652Дата завершення
Sep 23, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 21, 2026, 12:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources including GFS and ECMWF consensus indicate a high of 25–26 °C in Paris on September 23 under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies, with light northeast winds and minimal precipitation risk supporting the market’s 54 % implied probability on 26 °C. These conditions reflect a ridge of high pressure promoting subsidence and clear air, yielding daytime maxima several degrees above the 1991–2020 average high of 20.4 °C. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, with limited upside to 27 °C or downside to 24 °C, while updated runs expected from major centers in the next 24–48 hours could refine the exact peak before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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