Recent ensemble forecasts from models such as GFS place the maximum temperature in Paris on September 22 near 24–25 °C under clear to partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly flow. This range sits 3–4 °C above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 20.6 °C yet remains well below historical extremes for the date. Stable high pressure and dry northerly advection have limited diurnal temperature spread, tightening the distribution of possible outcomes and supporting the market’s heaviest volume on 24 °C and 25 °C. Updated model runs through 20 September show minimal spread for the daytime maximum, with only modest sensitivity to small shifts in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing that could nudge readings one degree lower or higher.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Paris on September 22?
Highest temperature in Paris on September 22?
25°C 49%
24°C 36%
26°C 14%
28°C 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 22, 2026
19°C or below
2%
20°C
2%
21°C
3%
22°C
4%
23°C
7%
24°C
36%
25°C
49%
26°C
14%
27°C
7%
28°C
10%
29°C or higher
2%
25°C 49%
24°C 36%
26°C 14%
28°C 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 22, 2026
19°C or below
$0 Обс.
2%
20°C
$0 Обс.
2%
21°C
$0 Обс.
3%
22°C
$0 Обс.
4%
23°C
$11 Обс.
7%
24°C
$266 Обс.
36%
25°C
$133 Обс.
49%
26°C
$5 Обс.
14%
27°C
$8 Обс.
7%
28°C
$0 Обс.
10%
29°C or higher
$0 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from models such as GFS place the maximum temperature in Paris on September 22 near 24–25 °C under clear to partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly flow. This range sits 3–4 °C above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 20.6 °C yet remains well below historical extremes for the date. Stable high pressure and dry northerly advection have limited diurnal temperature spread, tightening the distribution of possible outcomes and supporting the market’s heaviest volume on 24 °C and 25 °C. Updated model runs through 20 September show minimal spread for the daytime maximum, with only modest sensitivity to small shifts in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing that could nudge readings one degree lower or higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 20, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Обсяг
$422Дата завершення
Sep 22, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 20, 2026, 12:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from models such as GFS place the maximum temperature in Paris on September 22 near 24–25 °C under clear to partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly flow. This range sits 3–4 °C above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 20.6 °C yet remains well below historical extremes for the date. Stable high pressure and dry northerly advection have limited diurnal temperature spread, tightening the distribution of possible outcomes and supporting the market’s heaviest volume on 24 °C and 25 °C. Updated model runs through 20 September show minimal spread for the daytime maximum, with only modest sensitivity to small shifts in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing that could nudge readings one degree lower or higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$422Дата завершення
Sep 22, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 20, 2026, 12:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from models such as GFS place the maximum temperature in Paris on September 22 near 24–25 °C under clear to partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly flow. This range sits 3–4 °C above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 20.6 °C yet remains well below historical extremes for the date. Stable high pressure and dry northerly advection have limited diurnal temperature spread, tightening the distribution of possible outcomes and supporting the market’s heaviest volume on 24 °C and 25 °C. Updated model runs through 20 September show minimal spread for the daytime maximum, with only modest sensitivity to small shifts in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing that could nudge readings one degree lower or higher.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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