Traders see closely matched probabilities across 15–22°C outcomes for Moscow’s September 23 high because short-range ensemble forecasts show modest spread around a central tendency near 17–19°C. Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and southeasterly flow are expected to limit daytime warming, while model differences in timing and intensity of precipitation create uncertainty about whether the maximum reaches the upper or lower end of that range. Official guidance from the Hydrometeorological Center and latest ECMWF/GFS runs will be the key near-term catalysts, with resolution hinging on verified observations at the primary Moscow station.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Moscow on September 23?
Highest temperature in Moscow on September 23?
21°C 39%
22°C 38%
18°C 28%
17°C 25%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 23, 2026
13°C or below
4%
14°C
4%
15°C
8%
16°C
21%
17°C
25%
18°C
28%
19°C
23%
20°C
21%
21°C
39%
22°C
38%
23°C or higher
4%
21°C 39%
22°C 38%
18°C 28%
17°C 25%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 23, 2026
13°C or below
$0 Обс.
4%
14°C
$0 Обс.
4%
15°C
$0 Обс.
8%
16°C
$0 Обс.
21%
17°C
$0 Обс.
25%
18°C
$0 Обс.
28%
19°C
$0 Обс.
23%
20°C
$0 Обс.
21%
21°C
$0 Обс.
39%
22°C
$0 Обс.
38%
23°C or higher
$0 Обс.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see closely matched probabilities across 15–22°C outcomes for Moscow’s September 23 high because short-range ensemble forecasts show modest spread around a central tendency near 17–19°C. Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and southeasterly flow are expected to limit daytime warming, while model differences in timing and intensity of precipitation create uncertainty about whether the maximum reaches the upper or lower end of that range. Official guidance from the Hydrometeorological Center and latest ECMWF/GFS runs will be the key near-term catalysts, with resolution hinging on verified observations at the primary Moscow station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 23, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see closely matched probabilities across 15–22°C outcomes for Moscow’s September 23 high because short-range ensemble forecasts show modest spread around a central tendency near 17–19°C. Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and southeasterly flow are expected to limit daytime warming, while model differences in timing and intensity of precipitation create uncertainty about whether the maximum reaches the upper or lower end of that range. Official guidance from the Hydrometeorological Center and latest ECMWF/GFS runs will be the key near-term catalysts, with resolution hinging on verified observations at the primary Moscow station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 23, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Traders see closely matched probabilities across 15–22°C outcomes for Moscow’s September 23 high because short-range ensemble forecasts show modest spread around a central tendency near 17–19°C. Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and southeasterly flow are expected to limit daytime warming, while model differences in timing and intensity of precipitation create uncertainty about whether the maximum reaches the upper or lower end of that range. Official guidance from the Hydrometeorological Center and latest ECMWF/GFS runs will be the key near-term catalysts, with resolution hinging on verified observations at the primary Moscow station.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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