Persistent rainfall and extensive cloud cover expected across Chongqing on September 21 are the main factors anchoring market-implied odds around the 23–24°C range. Multiple forecast models indicate moderate to heavy showers, with high humidity and reduced solar insolation limiting daytime heating despite seasonal norms near 27°C. Recent cooling trends from upstream systems have reinforced this setup, though minor model spread on exact rainfall timing and intensity creates uncertainty between sub-23°C and mid-20s outcomes. Updated numerical guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration over the next 48 hours will likely drive any final shifts in trader positioning before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Chongqing on September 21?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on September 21?
18°C or below 44%
28°C or higher 32%
25°C 22%
23°C 19%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 21, 2026
18°C or below
44%
19°C
3%
20°C
15%
21°C
9%
22°C
15%
23°C
19%
24°C
18%
25°C
22%
26°C
9%
27°C
5%
28°C or higher
32%
18°C or below 44%
28°C or higher 32%
25°C 22%
23°C 19%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 21, 2026
18°C or below
$23 Обс.
44%
19°C
$30 Обс.
3%
20°C
$23 Обс.
15%
21°C
$0 Обс.
9%
22°C
$6 Обс.
15%
23°C
$0 Обс.
19%
24°C
$0 Обс.
18%
25°C
$0 Обс.
22%
26°C
$0 Обс.
9%
27°C
$0 Обс.
5%
28°C or higher
$0 Обс.
32%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent rainfall and extensive cloud cover expected across Chongqing on September 21 are the main factors anchoring market-implied odds around the 23–24°C range. Multiple forecast models indicate moderate to heavy showers, with high humidity and reduced solar insolation limiting daytime heating despite seasonal norms near 27°C. Recent cooling trends from upstream systems have reinforced this setup, though minor model spread on exact rainfall timing and intensity creates uncertainty between sub-23°C and mid-20s outcomes. Updated numerical guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration over the next 48 hours will likely drive any final shifts in trader positioning before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Обсяг
$81Дата завершення
Sep 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent rainfall and extensive cloud cover expected across Chongqing on September 21 are the main factors anchoring market-implied odds around the 23–24°C range. Multiple forecast models indicate moderate to heavy showers, with high humidity and reduced solar insolation limiting daytime heating despite seasonal norms near 27°C. Recent cooling trends from upstream systems have reinforced this setup, though minor model spread on exact rainfall timing and intensity creates uncertainty between sub-23°C and mid-20s outcomes. Updated numerical guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration over the next 48 hours will likely drive any final shifts in trader positioning before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$81Дата завершення
Sep 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Persistent rainfall and extensive cloud cover expected across Chongqing on September 21 are the main factors anchoring market-implied odds around the 23–24°C range. Multiple forecast models indicate moderate to heavy showers, with high humidity and reduced solar insolation limiting daytime heating despite seasonal norms near 27°C. Recent cooling trends from upstream systems have reinforced this setup, though minor model spread on exact rainfall timing and intensity creates uncertainty between sub-23°C and mid-20s outcomes. Updated numerical guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration over the next 48 hours will likely drive any final shifts in trader positioning before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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