Current forecast models from sources including the Met Office and GFS runs project a daytime high near 19–21°C for Amsterdam on September 23, driven by a mild Atlantic airflow, mostly cloudy skies, and light southwesterly winds that limit daytime heating. Scattered showers expected later in the day could further cap the peak through evaporative cooling and reduced solar insolation. This aligns closely with the September 23 climatological average high of 18.2°C while remaining below recent warm anomalies earlier in the month. Trader consensus across closely matched probabilities for 18–23°C reflects model spread in exact timing and intensity of cloud cover or precipitation, with low odds on extremes underscoring the limited potential for significant deviations under these stable synoptic conditions. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine the peak temperature.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Amsterdam on September 23?
21°C 32%
20°C 27%
18°C 18%
19°C 16%
14°C or below
4%
15°C
4%
16°C
4%
17°C
4%
18°C
18%
19°C
16%
20°C
27%
21°C
32%
22°C
12%
23°C
9%
24°C or higher
3%
21°C 32%
20°C 27%
18°C 18%
19°C 16%
14°C or below
4%
15°C
4%
16°C
4%
17°C
4%
18°C
18%
19°C
16%
20°C
27%
21°C
32%
22°C
12%
23°C
9%
24°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources including the Met Office and GFS runs project a daytime high near 19–21°C for Amsterdam on September 23, driven by a mild Atlantic airflow, mostly cloudy skies, and light southwesterly winds that limit daytime heating. Scattered showers expected later in the day could further cap the peak through evaporative cooling and reduced solar insolation. This aligns closely with the September 23 climatological average high of 18.2°C while remaining below recent warm anomalies earlier in the month. Trader consensus across closely matched probabilities for 18–23°C reflects model spread in exact timing and intensity of cloud cover or precipitation, with low odds on extremes underscoring the limited potential for significant deviations under these stable synoptic conditions. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine the peak temperature.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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