**Official forecasts from Singapore’s Meteorological Service Singapore and NEA project a 34°C high for September 21 under southwest monsoon conditions, with localized afternoon thundery showers expected to develop after peak heating.** These showers, typical in the late morning to early afternoon window, introduce cooling that can limit the daily maximum, aligning with the fortnightly outlook’s guidance of 33–34°C on most days and occasional 35°C peaks. Recent September observations show frequent exceedances of 34°C, yet the market-implied odds—led by 33°C at 56.5%—reflect trader assessment of shower timing and intensity potentially capping temperatures at or below the official forecast. Model consensus and historical monsoon patterns support this narrow range, with resolution depending on the highest official reading from Singapore’s network. Updated model runs and the next NEA briefing will likely refine probabilities ahead of the observation window.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Singapore on September 21?
Highest temperature in Singapore on September 21?
33°C 56%
32°C 28%
34°C 14%
31°C 2%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 21, 2026
29°C or below
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
28%
33°C
56%
34°C
14%
35°C
<1%
36°C
1%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 56%
32°C 28%
34°C 14%
31°C 2%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 21, 2026
29°C or below
$461 Обс.
1%
30°C
$822 Обс.
1%
31°C
$835 Обс.
2%
32°C
$2,236 Обс.
28%
33°C
$2,513 Обс.
56%
34°C
$1,283 Обс.
14%
35°C
$807 Обс.
<1%
36°C
$290 Обс.
1%
37°C
$347 Обс.
1%
38°C
$251 Обс.
<1%
39°C or higher
$251 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from Singapore’s Meteorological Service Singapore and NEA project a 34°C high for September 21 under southwest monsoon conditions, with localized afternoon thundery showers expected to develop after peak heating.** These showers, typical in the late morning to early afternoon window, introduce cooling that can limit the daily maximum, aligning with the fortnightly outlook’s guidance of 33–34°C on most days and occasional 35°C peaks. Recent September observations show frequent exceedances of 34°C, yet the market-implied odds—led by 33°C at 56.5%—reflect trader assessment of shower timing and intensity potentially capping temperatures at or below the official forecast. Model consensus and historical monsoon patterns support this narrow range, with resolution depending on the highest official reading from Singapore’s network. Updated model runs and the next NEA briefing will likely refine probabilities ahead of the observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$9,083Дата завершення
Sep 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from Singapore’s Meteorological Service Singapore and NEA project a 34°C high for September 21 under southwest monsoon conditions, with localized afternoon thundery showers expected to develop after peak heating.** These showers, typical in the late morning to early afternoon window, introduce cooling that can limit the daily maximum, aligning with the fortnightly outlook’s guidance of 33–34°C on most days and occasional 35°C peaks. Recent September observations show frequent exceedances of 34°C, yet the market-implied odds—led by 33°C at 56.5%—reflect trader assessment of shower timing and intensity potentially capping temperatures at or below the official forecast. Model consensus and historical monsoon patterns support this narrow range, with resolution depending on the highest official reading from Singapore’s network. Updated model runs and the next NEA briefing will likely refine probabilities ahead of the observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$9,083Дата завершення
Sep 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Official forecasts from Singapore’s Meteorological Service Singapore and NEA project a 34°C high for September 21 under southwest monsoon conditions, with localized afternoon thundery showers expected to develop after peak heating.** These showers, typical in the late morning to early afternoon window, introduce cooling that can limit the daily maximum, aligning with the fortnightly outlook’s guidance of 33–34°C on most days and occasional 35°C peaks. Recent September observations show frequent exceedances of 34°C, yet the market-implied odds—led by 33°C at 56.5%—reflect trader assessment of shower timing and intensity potentially capping temperatures at or below the official forecast. Model consensus and historical monsoon patterns support this narrow range, with resolution depending on the highest official reading from Singapore’s network. Updated model runs and the next NEA briefing will likely refine probabilities ahead of the observation window.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання