Recent monsoon-driven thunderstorms and cloud cover over Metro Manila are moderating daytime heating, with official PAGASA and global model guidance converging on a Friday maximum near 31–32°C amid 60–80% rain chances. Persistent low-level moisture, light variable winds, and scattered convection typical of late-September climatology reduce solar insolation and cap peak temperatures, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 31–33°C. Minor model differences in storm timing and intensity create the observed spread, while the low probabilities assigned to 34°C or higher reflect limited potential for clear-sky breaks that would allow greater warming. Updated PAGASA briefings and next GFS runs will provide the next resolution signals.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Manila on September 25?
Highest temperature in Manila on September 25?
29°C 26%
32°C 22%
33°C 22%
31°C 18%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 25, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
4%
29°C
26%
30°C
18%
31°C
18%
32°C
22%
33°C
22%
34°C
14%
35°C
8%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
<1%
29°C 26%
32°C 22%
33°C 22%
31°C 18%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 25, 2026
27°C or below
$0 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$0 Обс.
4%
29°C
$0 Обс.
26%
30°C
$0 Обс.
18%
31°C
$5 Обс.
18%
32°C
$0 Обс.
22%
33°C
$0 Обс.
22%
34°C
$12 Обс.
14%
35°C
$0 Обс.
8%
36°C
$0 Обс.
2%
37°C or higher
$171 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent monsoon-driven thunderstorms and cloud cover over Metro Manila are moderating daytime heating, with official PAGASA and global model guidance converging on a Friday maximum near 31–32°C amid 60–80% rain chances. Persistent low-level moisture, light variable winds, and scattered convection typical of late-September climatology reduce solar insolation and cap peak temperatures, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 31–33°C. Minor model differences in storm timing and intensity create the observed spread, while the low probabilities assigned to 34°C or higher reflect limited potential for clear-sky breaks that would allow greater warming. Updated PAGASA briefings and next GFS runs will provide the next resolution signals.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 23, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Обсяг
$188Дата завершення
Sep 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 23, 2026, 12:59 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent monsoon-driven thunderstorms and cloud cover over Metro Manila are moderating daytime heating, with official PAGASA and global model guidance converging on a Friday maximum near 31–32°C amid 60–80% rain chances. Persistent low-level moisture, light variable winds, and scattered convection typical of late-September climatology reduce solar insolation and cap peak temperatures, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 31–33°C. Minor model differences in storm timing and intensity create the observed spread, while the low probabilities assigned to 34°C or higher reflect limited potential for clear-sky breaks that would allow greater warming. Updated PAGASA briefings and next GFS runs will provide the next resolution signals.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$188Дата завершення
Sep 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 23, 2026, 12:59 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent monsoon-driven thunderstorms and cloud cover over Metro Manila are moderating daytime heating, with official PAGASA and global model guidance converging on a Friday maximum near 31–32°C amid 60–80% rain chances. Persistent low-level moisture, light variable winds, and scattered convection typical of late-September climatology reduce solar insolation and cap peak temperatures, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 31–33°C. Minor model differences in storm timing and intensity create the observed spread, while the low probabilities assigned to 34°C or higher reflect limited potential for clear-sky breaks that would allow greater warming. Updated PAGASA briefings and next GFS runs will provide the next resolution signals.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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