Recent forecasts from models including ECMWF and national agencies point to partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds over Guangzhou on September 25, supporting maximum temperatures of 33–35 °C and positioning 35 °C as the market favorite. Subtropical conditions in late September typically yield average highs near 31 °C, yet current ridging and reduced monsoon moisture have allowed daytime heating to exceed climatology, consistent with the 34.7 °C historical record. Low precipitation probabilities (under 20 % in several runs) limit evaporative cooling, while dew points near 23 °C sustain high heat indices. Updated model consensus through the next 48 hours will determine whether readings push toward 36 °C or settle nearer 34 °C, directly influencing the tight clustering of implied probabilities around these thresholds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Guangzhou on September 25?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on September 25?
35°C 42%
34°C 22%
37°C 19%
36°C 19%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 25, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
4%
31°C
4%
32°C
18%
33°C
19%
34°C
22%
35°C
42%
36°C
19%
37°C
19%
38°C or higher
<1%
35°C 42%
34°C 22%
37°C 19%
36°C 19%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 25, 2026
28°C or below
$0 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$0 Обс.
2%
30°C
$0 Обс.
4%
31°C
$0 Обс.
4%
32°C
$0 Обс.
18%
33°C
$5 Обс.
19%
34°C
$0 Обс.
22%
35°C
$130 Обс.
42%
36°C
$0 Обс.
19%
37°C
$0 Обс.
19%
38°C or higher
$60 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models including ECMWF and national agencies point to partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds over Guangzhou on September 25, supporting maximum temperatures of 33–35 °C and positioning 35 °C as the market favorite. Subtropical conditions in late September typically yield average highs near 31 °C, yet current ridging and reduced monsoon moisture have allowed daytime heating to exceed climatology, consistent with the 34.7 °C historical record. Low precipitation probabilities (under 20 % in several runs) limit evaporative cooling, while dew points near 23 °C sustain high heat indices. Updated model consensus through the next 48 hours will determine whether readings push toward 36 °C or settle nearer 34 °C, directly influencing the tight clustering of implied probabilities around these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Обсяг
$195Дата завершення
Sep 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models including ECMWF and national agencies point to partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds over Guangzhou on September 25, supporting maximum temperatures of 33–35 °C and positioning 35 °C as the market favorite. Subtropical conditions in late September typically yield average highs near 31 °C, yet current ridging and reduced monsoon moisture have allowed daytime heating to exceed climatology, consistent with the 34.7 °C historical record. Low precipitation probabilities (under 20 % in several runs) limit evaporative cooling, while dew points near 23 °C sustain high heat indices. Updated model consensus through the next 48 hours will determine whether readings push toward 36 °C or settle nearer 34 °C, directly influencing the tight clustering of implied probabilities around these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$195Дата завершення
Sep 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models including ECMWF and national agencies point to partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds over Guangzhou on September 25, supporting maximum temperatures of 33–35 °C and positioning 35 °C as the market favorite. Subtropical conditions in late September typically yield average highs near 31 °C, yet current ridging and reduced monsoon moisture have allowed daytime heating to exceed climatology, consistent with the 34.7 °C historical record. Low precipitation probabilities (under 20 % in several runs) limit evaporative cooling, while dew points near 23 °C sustain high heat indices. Updated model consensus through the next 48 hours will determine whether readings push toward 36 °C or settle nearer 34 °C, directly influencing the tight clustering of implied probabilities around these thresholds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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