Recent National Weather Service forecasts indicate a high near 77–79°F for San Francisco on September 23, driven by a building ridge that has initiated a brief warming trend after cooler marine-influenced conditions. Patchy morning fog and variable onshore winds typical of the region’s coastal microclimate introduce uncertainty in peak temperatures, with model guidance showing minor spreads in afternoon clearing and wind patterns. This aligns with the tightly clustered market-implied probabilities around 76–81°F, as traders weigh the balance between gradual ridging aloft and persistent cool marine air. Updated NWS model runs and evening observations will provide the next key data points ahead of the daily high’s determination.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in San Francisco on September 23?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on September 23?
80-81°F 29%
76-77°F 28%
78-79°F 28%
82-83°F 13%
НОВЕ
$12,167 Обс.
НОВЕ
$12,167 Обс.
Sep 23, 2026
71°F or below
1%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
7%
76-77°F
28%
78-79°F
28%
80-81°F
29%
82-83°F
13%
84-85°F
3%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
2%
90°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 29%
76-77°F 28%
78-79°F 28%
82-83°F 13%
НОВЕ
$12,167 Обс.
НОВЕ
$12,167 Обс.
Sep 23, 2026
71°F or below
$15 Обс.
1%
72-73°F
$178 Обс.
2%
74-75°F
$1,482 Обс.
7%
76-77°F
$1,747 Обс.
28%
78-79°F
$1,032 Обс.
28%
80-81°F
$4,353 Обс.
29%
82-83°F
$2,738 Обс.
13%
84-85°F
$394 Обс.
3%
86-87°F
$212 Обс.
1%
88-89°F
$10 Обс.
2%
90°F or higher
$5 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts indicate a high near 77–79°F for San Francisco on September 23, driven by a building ridge that has initiated a brief warming trend after cooler marine-influenced conditions. Patchy morning fog and variable onshore winds typical of the region’s coastal microclimate introduce uncertainty in peak temperatures, with model guidance showing minor spreads in afternoon clearing and wind patterns. This aligns with the tightly clustered market-implied probabilities around 76–81°F, as traders weigh the balance between gradual ridging aloft and persistent cool marine air. Updated NWS model runs and evening observations will provide the next key data points ahead of the daily high’s determination.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 21, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$12,167Дата завершення
Sep 23, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 21, 2026, 7:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts indicate a high near 77–79°F for San Francisco on September 23, driven by a building ridge that has initiated a brief warming trend after cooler marine-influenced conditions. Patchy morning fog and variable onshore winds typical of the region’s coastal microclimate introduce uncertainty in peak temperatures, with model guidance showing minor spreads in afternoon clearing and wind patterns. This aligns with the tightly clustered market-implied probabilities around 76–81°F, as traders weigh the balance between gradual ridging aloft and persistent cool marine air. Updated NWS model runs and evening observations will provide the next key data points ahead of the daily high’s determination.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$12,167Дата завершення
Sep 23, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 21, 2026, 7:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts indicate a high near 77–79°F for San Francisco on September 23, driven by a building ridge that has initiated a brief warming trend after cooler marine-influenced conditions. Patchy morning fog and variable onshore winds typical of the region’s coastal microclimate introduce uncertainty in peak temperatures, with model guidance showing minor spreads in afternoon clearing and wind patterns. This aligns with the tightly clustered market-implied probabilities around 76–81°F, as traders weigh the balance between gradual ridging aloft and persistent cool marine air. Updated NWS model runs and evening observations will provide the next key data points ahead of the daily high’s determination.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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