Recent forecast models for São Paulo on September 25 show a warming trend after several cooler, cloudy days with highs near 13–20°C, driven by clearing skies, lighter winds, and rising solar insolation typical of late Southern Hemisphere spring. Official guidance and ensemble outputs converge on a daily maximum near 28°C, with some runs reaching 29°C under drier conditions and minimal precipitation. This aligns with historical September averages around 25–26°C while exceeding the recent cool anomaly, positioning 27–29°C as the dominant market-implied outcomes. Traders are weighting the latest model consensus and expected afternoon peak timing, with new data releases from monitoring agencies likely to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on September 25?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on September 25?
28°C 38%
29°C 26%
27°C 22%
26°C 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 25, 2026
22°C or below
2%
23°C
2%
24°C
2%
25°C
4%
26°C
8%
27°C
22%
28°C
38%
29°C
26%
30°C
3%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 38%
29°C 26%
27°C 22%
26°C 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 25, 2026
22°C or below
$0 Обс.
2%
23°C
$7 Обс.
2%
24°C
$151 Обс.
2%
25°C
$142 Обс.
4%
26°C
$216 Обс.
8%
27°C
$548 Обс.
22%
28°C
$386 Обс.
38%
29°C
$931 Обс.
26%
30°C
$187 Обс.
3%
31°C
$15 Обс.
<1%
32°C or higher
$105 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models for São Paulo on September 25 show a warming trend after several cooler, cloudy days with highs near 13–20°C, driven by clearing skies, lighter winds, and rising solar insolation typical of late Southern Hemisphere spring. Official guidance and ensemble outputs converge on a daily maximum near 28°C, with some runs reaching 29°C under drier conditions and minimal precipitation. This aligns with historical September averages around 25–26°C while exceeding the recent cool anomaly, positioning 27–29°C as the dominant market-implied outcomes. Traders are weighting the latest model consensus and expected afternoon peak timing, with new data releases from monitoring agencies likely to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 23, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Обсяг
$2,688Дата завершення
Sep 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 23, 2026, 8:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrВирішувач
0x69c47de9d...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models for São Paulo on September 25 show a warming trend after several cooler, cloudy days with highs near 13–20°C, driven by clearing skies, lighter winds, and rising solar insolation typical of late Southern Hemisphere spring. Official guidance and ensemble outputs converge on a daily maximum near 28°C, with some runs reaching 29°C under drier conditions and minimal precipitation. This aligns with historical September averages around 25–26°C while exceeding the recent cool anomaly, positioning 27–29°C as the dominant market-implied outcomes. Traders are weighting the latest model consensus and expected afternoon peak timing, with new data releases from monitoring agencies likely to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$2,688Дата завершення
Sep 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 23, 2026, 8:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrВирішувач
0x69c47de9d...Recent forecast models for São Paulo on September 25 show a warming trend after several cooler, cloudy days with highs near 13–20°C, driven by clearing skies, lighter winds, and rising solar insolation typical of late Southern Hemisphere spring. Official guidance and ensemble outputs converge on a daily maximum near 28°C, with some runs reaching 29°C under drier conditions and minimal precipitation. This aligns with historical September averages around 25–26°C while exceeding the recent cool anomaly, positioning 27–29°C as the dominant market-implied outcomes. Traders are weighting the latest model consensus and expected afternoon peak timing, with new data releases from monitoring agencies likely to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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