Recent high-pressure ridging and clear skies over southern England are driving modest daytime radiative heating for London on September 24, with official Met Office and UKMO guidance pointing to a maximum of 21–22 °C under mostly sunny conditions and light southerly winds. Model consensus shows a chilly dawn near 11–12 °C followed by gradual warming, though small differences in afternoon cloud cover or wind speed could shift the peak by 1 °C either way. These factors explain the tight market clustering around 21 °C (36 %) and 22 °C (34 %), with 23 °C at 17.5 % reflecting residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing. Final forecast updates and real-time observations on the day will determine the precise maximum before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in London on September 24?
21°C 37%
22°C 34%
23°C 18%
20°C 14%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
3%
18°C
3%
19°C
7%
20°C
14%
21°C
37%
22°C
34%
23°C
18%
24°C
7%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
<1%
21°C 37%
22°C 34%
23°C 18%
20°C 14%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
3%
18°C
3%
19°C
7%
20°C
14%
21°C
37%
22°C
34%
23°C
18%
24°C
7%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent high-pressure ridging and clear skies over southern England are driving modest daytime radiative heating for London on September 24, with official Met Office and UKMO guidance pointing to a maximum of 21–22 °C under mostly sunny conditions and light southerly winds. Model consensus shows a chilly dawn near 11–12 °C followed by gradual warming, though small differences in afternoon cloud cover or wind speed could shift the peak by 1 °C either way. These factors explain the tight market clustering around 21 °C (36 %) and 22 °C (34 %), with 23 °C at 17.5 % reflecting residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing. Final forecast updates and real-time observations on the day will determine the precise maximum before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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