Recent record rainfall across São Paulo in September 2026 has sustained extensive cloud cover and suppressed daytime heating, driving trader consensus toward a cooler maximum near 21–23°C. Official forecasts from multiple models converge on highs of 20–24°C under overcast skies and light winds, well below the long-term September average of 24–26°C. Persistent moisture from the wettest September on record continues to limit solar insolation and maintain a stable, cooler boundary layer. With resolution tied to verified maximum observations, any late-day clearing or model shift could nudge probabilities, though current conditions strongly favor outcomes at or below 23°C.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on September 20?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on September 20?
21°C or below 31%
22°C 27%
23°C 19%
24°C 19%
НОВЕ
$22,500 Обс.
НОВЕ
$22,500 Обс.
Sep 20, 2026
21°C or below
31%
22°C
27%
23°C
19%
24°C
19%
25°C
7%
26°C
5%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
21°C or below 31%
22°C 27%
23°C 19%
24°C 19%
НОВЕ
$22,500 Обс.
НОВЕ
$22,500 Обс.
Sep 20, 2026
21°C or below
$8,351 Обс.
31%
22°C
$2,160 Обс.
27%
23°C
$1,990 Обс.
19%
24°C
$1,258 Обс.
19%
25°C
$2,384 Обс.
7%
26°C
$1,092 Обс.
5%
27°C
$1,750 Обс.
1%
28°C
$634 Обс.
1%
29°C
$2,917 Обс.
<1%
30°C
$96 Обс.
<1%
31°C or higher
$96 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent record rainfall across São Paulo in September 2026 has sustained extensive cloud cover and suppressed daytime heating, driving trader consensus toward a cooler maximum near 21–23°C. Official forecasts from multiple models converge on highs of 20–24°C under overcast skies and light winds, well below the long-term September average of 24–26°C. Persistent moisture from the wettest September on record continues to limit solar insolation and maintain a stable, cooler boundary layer. With resolution tied to verified maximum observations, any late-day clearing or model shift could nudge probabilities, though current conditions strongly favor outcomes at or below 23°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 18, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Обсяг
$22,500Дата завершення
Sep 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 18, 2026, 8:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent record rainfall across São Paulo in September 2026 has sustained extensive cloud cover and suppressed daytime heating, driving trader consensus toward a cooler maximum near 21–23°C. Official forecasts from multiple models converge on highs of 20–24°C under overcast skies and light winds, well below the long-term September average of 24–26°C. Persistent moisture from the wettest September on record continues to limit solar insolation and maintain a stable, cooler boundary layer. With resolution tied to verified maximum observations, any late-day clearing or model shift could nudge probabilities, though current conditions strongly favor outcomes at or below 23°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$22,500Дата завершення
Sep 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 18, 2026, 8:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent record rainfall across São Paulo in September 2026 has sustained extensive cloud cover and suppressed daytime heating, driving trader consensus toward a cooler maximum near 21–23°C. Official forecasts from multiple models converge on highs of 20–24°C under overcast skies and light winds, well below the long-term September average of 24–26°C. Persistent moisture from the wettest September on record continues to limit solar insolation and maintain a stable, cooler boundary layer. With resolution tied to verified maximum observations, any late-day clearing or model shift could nudge probabilities, though current conditions strongly favor outcomes at or below 23°C.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання