Recent forecasts from sources like timeanddate and BBC Weather indicate Munich will experience sunny conditions on August 12 under a stable high-pressure system, supporting a daytime maximum near 30–31°C. Ensemble model spreads of 1–2°C arise mainly from minor variations in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, with official guidance from European meteorological agencies placing the most probable outcome in this narrow band. Recent days have featured similar warm, clear patterns, with August 10 highs reaching 33°C before a slight cooling trend, consistent with climatological August peaks around 25°C but elevated by current subsidence. Traders appear to weigh the absence of incoming fronts or significant moisture against typical diurnal ranges, producing the current distribution favoring 30°C and 31°C outcomes. Updated model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Munich on August 12?
Highest temperature in Munich on August 12?
30°C 49%
31°C 28%
29°C 16%
32°C 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 12, 2026
26°C or below
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
16%
30°C
49%
31°C
28%
32°C
10%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
30°C 49%
31°C 28%
29°C 16%
32°C 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 12, 2026
26°C or below
$178 Обс.
1%
27°C
$212 Обс.
1%
28°C
$180 Обс.
3%
29°C
$1,226 Обс.
16%
30°C
$1,340 Обс.
49%
31°C
$551 Обс.
28%
32°C
$566 Обс.
10%
33°C
$253 Обс.
1%
34°C
$150 Обс.
<1%
35°C
$156 Обс.
<1%
36°C or higher
$215 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like timeanddate and BBC Weather indicate Munich will experience sunny conditions on August 12 under a stable high-pressure system, supporting a daytime maximum near 30–31°C. Ensemble model spreads of 1–2°C arise mainly from minor variations in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, with official guidance from European meteorological agencies placing the most probable outcome in this narrow band. Recent days have featured similar warm, clear patterns, with August 10 highs reaching 33°C before a slight cooling trend, consistent with climatological August peaks around 25°C but elevated by current subsidence. Traders appear to weigh the absence of incoming fronts or significant moisture against typical diurnal ranges, producing the current distribution favoring 30°C and 31°C outcomes. Updated model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Обсяг
$5,028Дата завершення
Aug 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like timeanddate and BBC Weather indicate Munich will experience sunny conditions on August 12 under a stable high-pressure system, supporting a daytime maximum near 30–31°C. Ensemble model spreads of 1–2°C arise mainly from minor variations in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, with official guidance from European meteorological agencies placing the most probable outcome in this narrow band. Recent days have featured similar warm, clear patterns, with August 10 highs reaching 33°C before a slight cooling trend, consistent with climatological August peaks around 25°C but elevated by current subsidence. Traders appear to weigh the absence of incoming fronts or significant moisture against typical diurnal ranges, producing the current distribution favoring 30°C and 31°C outcomes. Updated model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$5,028Дата завершення
Aug 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources like timeanddate and BBC Weather indicate Munich will experience sunny conditions on August 12 under a stable high-pressure system, supporting a daytime maximum near 30–31°C. Ensemble model spreads of 1–2°C arise mainly from minor variations in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, with official guidance from European meteorological agencies placing the most probable outcome in this narrow band. Recent days have featured similar warm, clear patterns, with August 10 highs reaching 33°C before a slight cooling trend, consistent with climatological August peaks around 25°C but elevated by current subsidence. Traders appear to weigh the absence of incoming fronts or significant moisture against typical diurnal ranges, producing the current distribution favoring 30°C and 31°C outcomes. Updated model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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