Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts project maximum temperatures of 34–35°C on August 11 amid hot, humid summer conditions with variable cloud cover and isolated showers. Seasonal guidance for normal-to-above-normal August temperatures provides background support, yet short-term model spreads on insolation, boundary-layer moisture, and steering flows create genuine uncertainty between these adjacent thresholds. Trader-implied odds cluster tightly around 34–35°C because the precise daily peak hinges on small differences in afternoon clearing versus convective suppression, with updated HKO guidance and regional model runs expected to refine resolution criteria before market close.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 11?
35°C 35%
34°C 30%
36°C 15%
37°C 14%
30°C or below
2%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
10%
34°C
30%
35°C
35%
36°C
15%
37°C
14%
38°C
8%
39°C
1%
40°C or higher
<1%
35°C 35%
34°C 30%
36°C 15%
37°C 14%
30°C or below
2%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
10%
34°C
30%
35°C
35%
36°C
15%
37°C
14%
38°C
8%
39°C
1%
40°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 9, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts project maximum temperatures of 34–35°C on August 11 amid hot, humid summer conditions with variable cloud cover and isolated showers. Seasonal guidance for normal-to-above-normal August temperatures provides background support, yet short-term model spreads on insolation, boundary-layer moisture, and steering flows create genuine uncertainty between these adjacent thresholds. Trader-implied odds cluster tightly around 34–35°C because the precise daily peak hinges on small differences in afternoon clearing versus convective suppression, with updated HKO guidance and regional model runs expected to refine resolution criteria before market close.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено



Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання