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icon for Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 11?

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 11?

icon for Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 11?

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 11?

Aug 7

Aug 8

Aug 9

Aug 10

Aug 7

Aug 8

Aug 9

Aug 10

35°C 35%

34°C 30%

36°C 15%

37°C 14%

Polymarket
НОВЕ

35°C 35%

34°C 30%

36°C 15%

37°C 14%

Polymarket
НОВЕ

30°C or below

$10 Обс.

2%

31°C

$12 Обс.

1%

32°C

$35 Обс.

1%

33°C

$0 Обс.

10%

34°C

$292 Обс.

30%

35°C

$35 Обс.

35%

36°C

$0 Обс.

15%

37°C

$151 Обс.

14%

38°C

$551 Обс.

8%

39°C

$12 Обс.

1%

40°C or higher

$12 Обс.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts project maximum temperatures of 34–35°C on August 11 amid hot, humid summer conditions with variable cloud cover and isolated showers. Seasonal guidance for normal-to-above-normal August temperatures provides background support, yet short-term model spreads on insolation, boundary-layer moisture, and steering flows create genuine uncertainty between these adjacent thresholds. Trader-implied odds cluster tightly around 34–35°C because the precise daily peak hinges on small differences in afternoon clearing versus convective suppression, with updated HKO guidance and regional model runs expected to refine resolution criteria before market close.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$1,110
Дата завершення
Aug 11, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Aug 9, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts project maximum temperatures of 34–35°C on August 11 amid hot, humid summer conditions with variable cloud cover and isolated showers. Seasonal guidance for normal-to-above-normal August temperatures provides background support, yet short-term model spreads on insolation, boundary-layer moisture, and steering flows create genuine uncertainty between these adjacent thresholds. Trader-implied odds cluster tightly around 34–35°C because the precise daily peak hinges on small differences in afternoon clearing versus convective suppression, with updated HKO guidance and regional model runs expected to refine resolution criteria before market close.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$1,110
Дата завершення
Aug 11, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Aug 9, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 11?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 11 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «35°C» з 35%, далі «34°C» з 30%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 11?» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений Aug 9, 2026. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 11?», перегляньте 11 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 11?» — «35°C» з 35%. Наступний — «34°C» з 30%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 11?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.