A dominant high-pressure system over northwest Europe is driving the current heatwave across southern England, with Met Office forecasts for London on August 12, 2026, calling for sunny skies and a maximum of 32°C. This aligns with model consensus on warm air advection from the continent under clear conditions that maximize insolation and minimize cloud cover or precipitation. The market's tight clustering around 31°C (38.5%) and 32°C (22.4%), ahead of 30°C (21.5%), reflects trader weighting of these official guidance and ensemble outputs while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty ranges of 1–2°C from local urban heat island effects or minor model shifts. Recent developments, including the fifth heatwave of summer 2026 with temperatures already climbing into the low 30s, reinforce above-normal conditions relative to August climatological averages near 22°C. Key upcoming data include updated Met Office and ECMWF runs on the 12th that could refine land-sea breeze influences or exact peak timing.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in London on August 12?
Highest temperature in London on August 12?
31°C 39%
30°C 28%
32°C 21.1%
29°C 6%
НОВЕ
$16,704 Обс.
НОВЕ
$16,704 Обс.
Aug 12, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
6%
30°C
28%
31°C
39%
32°C
21%
33°C
6%
34°C or higher
2%
31°C 39%
30°C 28%
32°C 21.1%
29°C 6%
НОВЕ
$16,704 Обс.
НОВЕ
$16,704 Обс.
Aug 12, 2026
24°C or below
$667 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$393 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$795 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$550 Обс.
1%
28°C
$869 Обс.
3%
29°C
$2,346 Обс.
6%
30°C
$4,120 Обс.
28%
31°C
$3,928 Обс.
39%
32°C
$1,272 Обс.
21%
33°C
$816 Обс.
6%
34°C or higher
$947 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A dominant high-pressure system over northwest Europe is driving the current heatwave across southern England, with Met Office forecasts for London on August 12, 2026, calling for sunny skies and a maximum of 32°C. This aligns with model consensus on warm air advection from the continent under clear conditions that maximize insolation and minimize cloud cover or precipitation. The market's tight clustering around 31°C (38.5%) and 32°C (22.4%), ahead of 30°C (21.5%), reflects trader weighting of these official guidance and ensemble outputs while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty ranges of 1–2°C from local urban heat island effects or minor model shifts. Recent developments, including the fifth heatwave of summer 2026 with temperatures already climbing into the low 30s, reinforce above-normal conditions relative to August climatological averages near 22°C. Key upcoming data include updated Met Office and ECMWF runs on the 12th that could refine land-sea breeze influences or exact peak timing.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$16,704Дата завершення
Aug 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A dominant high-pressure system over northwest Europe is driving the current heatwave across southern England, with Met Office forecasts for London on August 12, 2026, calling for sunny skies and a maximum of 32°C. This aligns with model consensus on warm air advection from the continent under clear conditions that maximize insolation and minimize cloud cover or precipitation. The market's tight clustering around 31°C (38.5%) and 32°C (22.4%), ahead of 30°C (21.5%), reflects trader weighting of these official guidance and ensemble outputs while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty ranges of 1–2°C from local urban heat island effects or minor model shifts. Recent developments, including the fifth heatwave of summer 2026 with temperatures already climbing into the low 30s, reinforce above-normal conditions relative to August climatological averages near 22°C. Key upcoming data include updated Met Office and ECMWF runs on the 12th that could refine land-sea breeze influences or exact peak timing.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$16,704Дата завершення
Aug 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...A dominant high-pressure system over northwest Europe is driving the current heatwave across southern England, with Met Office forecasts for London on August 12, 2026, calling for sunny skies and a maximum of 32°C. This aligns with model consensus on warm air advection from the continent under clear conditions that maximize insolation and minimize cloud cover or precipitation. The market's tight clustering around 31°C (38.5%) and 32°C (22.4%), ahead of 30°C (21.5%), reflects trader weighting of these official guidance and ensemble outputs while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty ranges of 1–2°C from local urban heat island effects or minor model shifts. Recent developments, including the fifth heatwave of summer 2026 with temperatures already climbing into the low 30s, reinforce above-normal conditions relative to August climatological averages near 22°C. Key upcoming data include updated Met Office and ECMWF runs on the 12th that could refine land-sea breeze influences or exact peak timing.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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