Recent forecasts from models and agencies point to Shanghai's August 13 high near 29–30°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity that limit daytime heating under typical late-summer monsoon patterns. These conditions align with the market's heaviest weighting on 29°C (43.5%) and 30°C (30%), reflecting trader assessment of ensemble guidance showing modest cooling from seasonal averages around 31°C. Recent multi-day trends of overcast skies and precipitation have further anchored expectations in this narrow range, though minor shifts in steering flow or rainfall timing could adjust the peak by 1–2°C ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Shanghai on August 13?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 13?
30°C 36%
29°C 35%
28°C 16%
31°C 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 13, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
16%
29°C
35%
30°C
36%
31°C
10%
32°C
4%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
3%
30°C 36%
29°C 35%
28°C 16%
31°C 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 13, 2026
24°C or below
$15 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$5 Обс.
1%
26°C
$40 Обс.
1%
27°C
$30 Обс.
4%
28°C
$450 Обс.
16%
29°C
$407 Обс.
35%
30°C
$254 Обс.
36%
31°C
$20 Обс.
10%
32°C
$10 Обс.
4%
33°C
$10 Обс.
1%
34°C or higher
$17 Обс.
3%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models and agencies point to Shanghai's August 13 high near 29–30°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity that limit daytime heating under typical late-summer monsoon patterns. These conditions align with the market's heaviest weighting on 29°C (43.5%) and 30°C (30%), reflecting trader assessment of ensemble guidance showing modest cooling from seasonal averages around 31°C. Recent multi-day trends of overcast skies and precipitation have further anchored expectations in this narrow range, though minor shifts in steering flow or rainfall timing could adjust the peak by 1–2°C ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,095Дата завершення
Aug 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models and agencies point to Shanghai's August 13 high near 29–30°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity that limit daytime heating under typical late-summer monsoon patterns. These conditions align with the market's heaviest weighting on 29°C (43.5%) and 30°C (30%), reflecting trader assessment of ensemble guidance showing modest cooling from seasonal averages around 31°C. Recent multi-day trends of overcast skies and precipitation have further anchored expectations in this narrow range, though minor shifts in steering flow or rainfall timing could adjust the peak by 1–2°C ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,095Дата завершення
Aug 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models and agencies point to Shanghai's August 13 high near 29–30°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity that limit daytime heating under typical late-summer monsoon patterns. These conditions align with the market's heaviest weighting on 29°C (43.5%) and 30°C (30%), reflecting trader assessment of ensemble guidance showing modest cooling from seasonal averages around 31°C. Recent multi-day trends of overcast skies and precipitation have further anchored expectations in this narrow range, though minor shifts in steering flow or rainfall timing could adjust the peak by 1–2°C ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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