Recent model consensus and the inland remnants of Typhoon Dolphin, which made landfall in eastern China on August 9, are moderating expected highs in Beijing for August 12 by enhancing cloud cover, humidity, and potential showers that limit daytime heating. Typical mid-August climatology features highs near 30–31 °C, yet current guidance points to 26–28 °C as the most probable range, with the tight spread among leading market outcomes reflecting lingering uncertainty in steering patterns and precipitation timing. Official forecasts from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration will refine these projections ahead of resolution, as small shifts in cloud or moisture advection can alter peak temperatures by 1–2 °C.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Beijing on August 12?
Highest temperature in Beijing on August 12?
27°C 29%
26°C 29%
28°C 24%
29°C 12%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 12, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
5%
25°C
10%
26°C
29%
27°C
29%
28°C
24%
29°C
12%
30°C
5%
31°C
5%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 29%
26°C 29%
28°C 24%
29°C 12%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 12, 2026
22°C or below
$5 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$57 Обс.
1%
24°C
$239 Обс.
5%
25°C
$28 Обс.
10%
26°C
$13 Обс.
29%
27°C
$0 Обс.
29%
28°C
$0 Обс.
24%
29°C
$23 Обс.
12%
30°C
$8 Обс.
5%
31°C
$5 Обс.
5%
32°C or higher
$10 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus and the inland remnants of Typhoon Dolphin, which made landfall in eastern China on August 9, are moderating expected highs in Beijing for August 12 by enhancing cloud cover, humidity, and potential showers that limit daytime heating. Typical mid-August climatology features highs near 30–31 °C, yet current guidance points to 26–28 °C as the most probable range, with the tight spread among leading market outcomes reflecting lingering uncertainty in steering patterns and precipitation timing. Official forecasts from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration will refine these projections ahead of resolution, as small shifts in cloud or moisture advection can alter peak temperatures by 1–2 °C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Обсяг
$371Дата завершення
Aug 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus and the inland remnants of Typhoon Dolphin, which made landfall in eastern China on August 9, are moderating expected highs in Beijing for August 12 by enhancing cloud cover, humidity, and potential showers that limit daytime heating. Typical mid-August climatology features highs near 30–31 °C, yet current guidance points to 26–28 °C as the most probable range, with the tight spread among leading market outcomes reflecting lingering uncertainty in steering patterns and precipitation timing. Official forecasts from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration will refine these projections ahead of resolution, as small shifts in cloud or moisture advection can alter peak temperatures by 1–2 °C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$371Дата завершення
Aug 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus and the inland remnants of Typhoon Dolphin, which made landfall in eastern China on August 9, are moderating expected highs in Beijing for August 12 by enhancing cloud cover, humidity, and potential showers that limit daytime heating. Typical mid-August climatology features highs near 30–31 °C, yet current guidance points to 26–28 °C as the most probable range, with the tight spread among leading market outcomes reflecting lingering uncertainty in steering patterns and precipitation timing. Official forecasts from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration will refine these projections ahead of resolution, as small shifts in cloud or moisture advection can alter peak temperatures by 1–2 °C.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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