Recent model consensus from sources like AccuWeather and regional climate summaries points to Shanghai's overnight minimum on August 14 settling near 25–26°C, driven by typical mid-August subtropical conditions of high humidity, light winds, and scattered cloud cover or light rain that limit radiative cooling. These factors keep nighttime temperatures elevated compared with drier periods, aligning with historical August lows averaging 25–26°C and current extended forecasts showing 23–26°C ranges without significant cold advection. Trader positioning clusters on 25–27°C outcomes because ensemble runs exhibit low spread around this band, with only modest downside risk from heavier precipitation or upside from clearer skies; no major forecast shifts have emerged in the past 48 hours to alter that central tendency.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Shanghai on August 14?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on August 14?
26°C 46%
27°C 35%
25°C 26%
24°C 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 14, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
3%
23°C
6%
24°C
10%
25°C
26%
26°C
41%
27°C
35%
28°C
9%
29°C
10%
30°C or higher
1%
26°C 46%
27°C 35%
25°C 26%
24°C 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 14, 2026
20°C or below
$10 Обс.
<1%
21°C
$10 Обс.
<1%
22°C
$28 Обс.
3%
23°C
$6 Обс.
6%
24°C
$0 Обс.
10%
25°C
$0 Обс.
26%
26°C
$21 Обс.
41%
27°C
$0 Обс.
35%
28°C
$0 Обс.
9%
29°C
$38 Обс.
10%
30°C or higher
$28 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like AccuWeather and regional climate summaries points to Shanghai's overnight minimum on August 14 settling near 25–26°C, driven by typical mid-August subtropical conditions of high humidity, light winds, and scattered cloud cover or light rain that limit radiative cooling. These factors keep nighttime temperatures elevated compared with drier periods, aligning with historical August lows averaging 25–26°C and current extended forecasts showing 23–26°C ranges without significant cold advection. Trader positioning clusters on 25–27°C outcomes because ensemble runs exhibit low spread around this band, with only modest downside risk from heavier precipitation or upside from clearer skies; no major forecast shifts have emerged in the past 48 hours to alter that central tendency.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$141Дата завершення
Aug 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like AccuWeather and regional climate summaries points to Shanghai's overnight minimum on August 14 settling near 25–26°C, driven by typical mid-August subtropical conditions of high humidity, light winds, and scattered cloud cover or light rain that limit radiative cooling. These factors keep nighttime temperatures elevated compared with drier periods, aligning with historical August lows averaging 25–26°C and current extended forecasts showing 23–26°C ranges without significant cold advection. Trader positioning clusters on 25–27°C outcomes because ensemble runs exhibit low spread around this band, with only modest downside risk from heavier precipitation or upside from clearer skies; no major forecast shifts have emerged in the past 48 hours to alter that central tendency.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$141Дата завершення
Aug 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources like AccuWeather and regional climate summaries points to Shanghai's overnight minimum on August 14 settling near 25–26°C, driven by typical mid-August subtropical conditions of high humidity, light winds, and scattered cloud cover or light rain that limit radiative cooling. These factors keep nighttime temperatures elevated compared with drier periods, aligning with historical August lows averaging 25–26°C and current extended forecasts showing 23–26°C ranges without significant cold advection. Trader positioning clusters on 25–27°C outcomes because ensemble runs exhibit low spread around this band, with only modest downside risk from heavier precipitation or upside from clearer skies; no major forecast shifts have emerged in the past 48 hours to alter that central tendency.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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