Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate cloudy conditions and a 29°C high for Tokyo on August 13, with similar patterns expected for August 14 amid 30–40% precipitation chances that could limit solar heating and cap afternoon temperatures. Ensemble models show modest spread driven by variable cloud cover and urban heat island effects, where reduced insolation from showers favors 27–28°C outcomes while clearer intervals support 29–30°C. Summer 2026 projections of above-normal warmth provide context, yet short-range uncertainty in steering patterns and moisture keeps the 27–29°C cluster closely matched in trader positioning ahead of updated model runs.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Tokyo on August 14?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on August 14?
29°C 27%
28°C 23%
27°C 22%
30°C 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 14, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
4%
26°C
7%
27°C
22%
28°C
23%
29°C
27%
30°C
10%
31°C
3%
32°C or higher
1%
29°C 27%
28°C 23%
27°C 22%
30°C 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 14, 2026
22°C or below
$374 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$362 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$22 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$274 Обс.
4%
26°C
$34 Обс.
7%
27°C
$71 Обс.
22%
28°C
$191 Обс.
23%
29°C
$89 Обс.
27%
30°C
$30 Обс.
10%
31°C
$17 Обс.
3%
32°C or higher
$10 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate cloudy conditions and a 29°C high for Tokyo on August 13, with similar patterns expected for August 14 amid 30–40% precipitation chances that could limit solar heating and cap afternoon temperatures. Ensemble models show modest spread driven by variable cloud cover and urban heat island effects, where reduced insolation from showers favors 27–28°C outcomes while clearer intervals support 29–30°C. Summer 2026 projections of above-normal warmth provide context, yet short-range uncertainty in steering patterns and moisture keeps the 27–29°C cluster closely matched in trader positioning ahead of updated model runs.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,474Дата завершення
Aug 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate cloudy conditions and a 29°C high for Tokyo on August 13, with similar patterns expected for August 14 amid 30–40% precipitation chances that could limit solar heating and cap afternoon temperatures. Ensemble models show modest spread driven by variable cloud cover and urban heat island effects, where reduced insolation from showers favors 27–28°C outcomes while clearer intervals support 29–30°C. Summer 2026 projections of above-normal warmth provide context, yet short-range uncertainty in steering patterns and moisture keeps the 27–29°C cluster closely matched in trader positioning ahead of updated model runs.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,474Дата завершення
Aug 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate cloudy conditions and a 29°C high for Tokyo on August 13, with similar patterns expected for August 14 amid 30–40% precipitation chances that could limit solar heating and cap afternoon temperatures. Ensemble models show modest spread driven by variable cloud cover and urban heat island effects, where reduced insolation from showers favors 27–28°C outcomes while clearer intervals support 29–30°C. Summer 2026 projections of above-normal warmth provide context, yet short-range uncertainty in steering patterns and moisture keeps the 27–29°C cluster closely matched in trader positioning ahead of updated model runs.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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