Official forecasts from the Met Office and BBC Weather establish a consensus minimum temperature of 17°C for London on August 16, driven by high-pressure dominance and light northerly winds that limit overnight radiative cooling under clear to partly cloudy skies. This aligns with the market's leading 41.5% implied probability for 17°C, followed closely by 18°C and 16°C outcomes reflecting minor model spread in boundary-layer conditions. Recent long-range outlooks noting above-normal temperatures for mid-August have reinforced trader positioning around these values, while historical August climatology (typical lows near 13–14°C) highlights the current mild anomaly. The Met Office's next 5-day update and final overnight station readings will provide the last inputs before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in London on August 16?
Lowest temperature in London on August 16?
17°C 42%
18°C 31%
16°C 25%
19°C 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 16, 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
2%
16°C
25%
17°C
42%
18°C
31%
19°C
7%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
17°C 42%
18°C 31%
16°C 25%
19°C 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 16, 2026
14°C or below
$83 Обс.
<1%
15°C
$336 Обс.
2%
16°C
$1,369 Обс.
25%
17°C
$2,264 Обс.
42%
18°C
$1,437 Обс.
31%
19°C
$663 Обс.
7%
20°C
$117 Обс.
1%
21°C
$131 Обс.
<1%
22°C
$131 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$141 Обс.
<1%
24°C or higher
$151 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Met Office and BBC Weather establish a consensus minimum temperature of 17°C for London on August 16, driven by high-pressure dominance and light northerly winds that limit overnight radiative cooling under clear to partly cloudy skies. This aligns with the market's leading 41.5% implied probability for 17°C, followed closely by 18°C and 16°C outcomes reflecting minor model spread in boundary-layer conditions. Recent long-range outlooks noting above-normal temperatures for mid-August have reinforced trader positioning around these values, while historical August climatology (typical lows near 13–14°C) highlights the current mild anomaly. The Met Office's next 5-day update and final overnight station readings will provide the last inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 14, 2026, 1:28 AM ET
Обсяг
$6,822Дата завершення
Aug 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 14, 2026, 1:28 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Met Office and BBC Weather establish a consensus minimum temperature of 17°C for London on August 16, driven by high-pressure dominance and light northerly winds that limit overnight radiative cooling under clear to partly cloudy skies. This aligns with the market's leading 41.5% implied probability for 17°C, followed closely by 18°C and 16°C outcomes reflecting minor model spread in boundary-layer conditions. Recent long-range outlooks noting above-normal temperatures for mid-August have reinforced trader positioning around these values, while historical August climatology (typical lows near 13–14°C) highlights the current mild anomaly. The Met Office's next 5-day update and final overnight station readings will provide the last inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$6,822Дата завершення
Aug 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 14, 2026, 1:28 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Met Office and BBC Weather establish a consensus minimum temperature of 17°C for London on August 16, driven by high-pressure dominance and light northerly winds that limit overnight radiative cooling under clear to partly cloudy skies. This aligns with the market's leading 41.5% implied probability for 17°C, followed closely by 18°C and 16°C outcomes reflecting minor model spread in boundary-layer conditions. Recent long-range outlooks noting above-normal temperatures for mid-August have reinforced trader positioning around these values, while historical August climatology (typical lows near 13–14°C) highlights the current mild anomaly. The Met Office's next 5-day update and final overnight station readings will provide the last inputs before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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