Latest ensemble forecasts position 24–26°C as the leading outcomes for São Paulo’s peak temperature on August 15, reflecting mild winter conditions under a subtropical high-pressure system with moderate humidity and variable Atlantic winds that suppress strong daytime heating. These align closely with climatological averages of 23–25°C for the month, when the city experiences its coolest season in the Southern Hemisphere. Recent model runs show limited variability from frontal systems or enhanced insolation, keeping probabilities concentrated in this narrow range while assigning negligible weight to extremes above 28°C or below 22°C. Traders’ real-capital consensus thus incorporates the current stable atmospheric setup and typical August diurnal ranges observed by official monitoring networks.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 15?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 15?
25°C 39%
24°C 27%
26°C 21%
27°C 8%
НОВЕ
$12,928 Обс.
НОВЕ
$12,928 Обс.
Aug 15, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
5%
24°C
27%
25°C
39%
26°C
21%
27°C
8%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 39%
24°C 27%
26°C 21%
27°C 8%
НОВЕ
$12,928 Обс.
НОВЕ
$12,928 Обс.
Aug 15, 2026
20°C or below
$37 Обс.
<1%
21°C
$330 Обс.
1%
22°C
$454 Обс.
1%
23°C
$2,820 Обс.
5%
24°C
$1,334 Обс.
27%
25°C
$2,086 Обс.
39%
26°C
$3,378 Обс.
21%
27°C
$1,394 Обс.
8%
28°C
$347 Обс.
2%
29°C
$383 Обс.
1%
30°C or higher
$367 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts position 24–26°C as the leading outcomes for São Paulo’s peak temperature on August 15, reflecting mild winter conditions under a subtropical high-pressure system with moderate humidity and variable Atlantic winds that suppress strong daytime heating. These align closely with climatological averages of 23–25°C for the month, when the city experiences its coolest season in the Southern Hemisphere. Recent model runs show limited variability from frontal systems or enhanced insolation, keeping probabilities concentrated in this narrow range while assigning negligible weight to extremes above 28°C or below 22°C. Traders’ real-capital consensus thus incorporates the current stable atmospheric setup and typical August diurnal ranges observed by official monitoring networks.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 13, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
Обсяг
$12,928Дата завершення
Aug 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 13, 2026, 8:55 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts position 24–26°C as the leading outcomes for São Paulo’s peak temperature on August 15, reflecting mild winter conditions under a subtropical high-pressure system with moderate humidity and variable Atlantic winds that suppress strong daytime heating. These align closely with climatological averages of 23–25°C for the month, when the city experiences its coolest season in the Southern Hemisphere. Recent model runs show limited variability from frontal systems or enhanced insolation, keeping probabilities concentrated in this narrow range while assigning negligible weight to extremes above 28°C or below 22°C. Traders’ real-capital consensus thus incorporates the current stable atmospheric setup and typical August diurnal ranges observed by official monitoring networks.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$12,928Дата завершення
Aug 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 13, 2026, 8:55 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts position 24–26°C as the leading outcomes for São Paulo’s peak temperature on August 15, reflecting mild winter conditions under a subtropical high-pressure system with moderate humidity and variable Atlantic winds that suppress strong daytime heating. These align closely with climatological averages of 23–25°C for the month, when the city experiences its coolest season in the Southern Hemisphere. Recent model runs show limited variability from frontal systems or enhanced insolation, keeping probabilities concentrated in this narrow range while assigning negligible weight to extremes above 28°C or below 22°C. Traders’ real-capital consensus thus incorporates the current stable atmospheric setup and typical August diurnal ranges observed by official monitoring networks.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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