Forecast models for Toronto on August 15 show ensemble spreads centered near 25–26°C, driving the near-even split in market-implied odds between those two outcomes. Lake Ontario’s moderating influence, variable afternoon cloud cover, and potential for light southwesterly flow introduce small uncertainties in peak heating. Official guidance from Environment Canada and short-range ensembles indicate limited potential for stronger warming or cooling, keeping lower and higher thresholds at single-digit probabilities. Final resolution depends on the highest hourly reading at Pearson International Airport, with traders weighting the latest model runs showing only modest differences in boundary-layer conditions.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Toronto on August 15?
Highest temperature in Toronto on August 15?
26°C 42%
25°C 37%
24°C 9%
27°C 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 15, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
2%
24°C
9%
25°C
37%
26°C
42%
27°C
7%
28°C
2%
29°C or higher
1%
26°C 42%
25°C 37%
24°C 9%
27°C 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 15, 2026
19°C or below
$97 Обс.
<1%
20°C
$87 Обс.
<1%
21°C
$453 Обс.
1%
22°C
$345 Обс.
2%
23°C
$407 Обс.
2%
24°C
$298 Обс.
9%
25°C
$189 Обс.
37%
26°C
$1,541 Обс.
42%
27°C
$231 Обс.
7%
28°C
$195 Обс.
2%
29°C or higher
$146 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Toronto on August 15 show ensemble spreads centered near 25–26°C, driving the near-even split in market-implied odds between those two outcomes. Lake Ontario’s moderating influence, variable afternoon cloud cover, and potential for light southwesterly flow introduce small uncertainties in peak heating. Official guidance from Environment Canada and short-range ensembles indicate limited potential for stronger warming or cooling, keeping lower and higher thresholds at single-digit probabilities. Final resolution depends on the highest hourly reading at Pearson International Airport, with traders weighting the latest model runs showing only modest differences in boundary-layer conditions.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 13, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
Обсяг
$3,988Дата завершення
Aug 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 13, 2026, 8:55 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Toronto on August 15 show ensemble spreads centered near 25–26°C, driving the near-even split in market-implied odds between those two outcomes. Lake Ontario’s moderating influence, variable afternoon cloud cover, and potential for light southwesterly flow introduce small uncertainties in peak heating. Official guidance from Environment Canada and short-range ensembles indicate limited potential for stronger warming or cooling, keeping lower and higher thresholds at single-digit probabilities. Final resolution depends on the highest hourly reading at Pearson International Airport, with traders weighting the latest model runs showing only modest differences in boundary-layer conditions.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$3,988Дата завершення
Aug 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 13, 2026, 8:55 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models for Toronto on August 15 show ensemble spreads centered near 25–26°C, driving the near-even split in market-implied odds between those two outcomes. Lake Ontario’s moderating influence, variable afternoon cloud cover, and potential for light southwesterly flow introduce small uncertainties in peak heating. Official guidance from Environment Canada and short-range ensembles indicate limited potential for stronger warming or cooling, keeping lower and higher thresholds at single-digit probabilities. Final resolution depends on the highest hourly reading at Pearson International Airport, with traders weighting the latest model runs showing only modest differences in boundary-layer conditions.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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