Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts for London on August 22 project overnight minimum temperatures of 11–13°C under sunny intervals and light northerly winds, supporting clear-sky radiative cooling without strong cold-air advection. These conditions align with late-summer climatology, where average lows reach about 13–14°C, though current model consensus favors the lower end of that range due to modest high-pressure influence. Market-implied odds reflect this guidance, with 12°C and 13°C capturing the bulk of trader consensus backed by real capital. Updated model runs or Met Office briefings ahead of resolution could shift probabilities if cloud cover or wind patterns change.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in London on August 22?
Lowest temperature in London on August 22?
12°C 54%
13°C 28%
11°C 16%
14°C 5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 22, 2026
9°C or below
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
16%
12°C
54%
13°C
28%
14°C
5%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
12°C 54%
13°C 28%
11°C 16%
14°C 5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 22, 2026
9°C or below
$0 Обс.
1%
10°C
$16 Обс.
1%
11°C
$112 Обс.
16%
12°C
$1,092 Обс.
54%
13°C
$389 Обс.
28%
14°C
$53 Обс.
5%
15°C
$25 Обс.
1%
16°C
$32 Обс.
1%
17°C
$32 Обс.
<1%
18°C
$32 Обс.
<1%
19°C or higher
$271 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts for London on August 22 project overnight minimum temperatures of 11–13°C under sunny intervals and light northerly winds, supporting clear-sky radiative cooling without strong cold-air advection. These conditions align with late-summer climatology, where average lows reach about 13–14°C, though current model consensus favors the lower end of that range due to modest high-pressure influence. Market-implied odds reflect this guidance, with 12°C and 13°C capturing the bulk of trader consensus backed by real capital. Updated model runs or Met Office briefings ahead of resolution could shift probabilities if cloud cover or wind patterns change.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 20, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Обсяг
$2,053Дата завершення
Aug 22, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 20, 2026, 12:28 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts for London on August 22 project overnight minimum temperatures of 11–13°C under sunny intervals and light northerly winds, supporting clear-sky radiative cooling without strong cold-air advection. These conditions align with late-summer climatology, where average lows reach about 13–14°C, though current model consensus favors the lower end of that range due to modest high-pressure influence. Market-implied odds reflect this guidance, with 12°C and 13°C capturing the bulk of trader consensus backed by real capital. Updated model runs or Met Office briefings ahead of resolution could shift probabilities if cloud cover or wind patterns change.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$2,053Дата завершення
Aug 22, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 20, 2026, 12:28 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts for London on August 22 project overnight minimum temperatures of 11–13°C under sunny intervals and light northerly winds, supporting clear-sky radiative cooling without strong cold-air advection. These conditions align with late-summer climatology, where average lows reach about 13–14°C, though current model consensus favors the lower end of that range due to modest high-pressure influence. Market-implied odds reflect this guidance, with 12°C and 13°C capturing the bulk of trader consensus backed by real capital. Updated model runs or Met Office briefings ahead of resolution could shift probabilities if cloud cover or wind patterns change.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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