Current forecast models from sources including the Met Office, WeatherBug, and regional analyses indicate Mexico City's overnight low on August 22 will likely fall between 13–16 °C, with trader probabilities clustered around 14–16 °C reflecting modest model spread. Persistent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms tied to the summer rainy season limit radiative cooling at the city's 2,240 m elevation, while light northerly winds and high humidity slow temperature drops after daytime highs near 20–23 °C. Minor differences in precipitation timing or clearing windows could shift the minimum by 1–2 °C, sustaining close market-implied odds across the 11–16 °C range as resolution nears.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Mexico City on August 22?
Lowest temperature in Mexico City on August 22?
16°C or higher 31%
11°C 28%
12°C 28%
13°C 28%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 22, 2026
6°C or below
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
28%
12°C
28%
13°C
28%
14°C
28%
15°C
28%
16°C or higher
31%
16°C or higher 31%
11°C 28%
12°C 28%
13°C 28%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 22, 2026
6°C or below
$20 Обс.
<1%
7°C
$25 Обс.
<1%
8°C
$22 Обс.
<1%
9°C
$37 Обс.
<1%
10°C
$46 Обс.
<1%
11°C
$0 Обс.
28%
12°C
$0 Обс.
28%
13°C
$0 Обс.
28%
14°C
$1 Обс.
28%
15°C
$1 Обс.
28%
16°C or higher
$0 Обс.
31%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including the Met Office, WeatherBug, and regional analyses indicate Mexico City's overnight low on August 22 will likely fall between 13–16 °C, with trader probabilities clustered around 14–16 °C reflecting modest model spread. Persistent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms tied to the summer rainy season limit radiative cooling at the city's 2,240 m elevation, while light northerly winds and high humidity slow temperature drops after daytime highs near 20–23 °C. Minor differences in precipitation timing or clearing windows could shift the minimum by 1–2 °C, sustaining close market-implied odds across the 11–16 °C range as resolution nears.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 20, 2026, 8:30 PM ET
Обсяг
$152Дата завершення
Aug 22, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 20, 2026, 8:30 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including the Met Office, WeatherBug, and regional analyses indicate Mexico City's overnight low on August 22 will likely fall between 13–16 °C, with trader probabilities clustered around 14–16 °C reflecting modest model spread. Persistent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms tied to the summer rainy season limit radiative cooling at the city's 2,240 m elevation, while light northerly winds and high humidity slow temperature drops after daytime highs near 20–23 °C. Minor differences in precipitation timing or clearing windows could shift the minimum by 1–2 °C, sustaining close market-implied odds across the 11–16 °C range as resolution nears.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$152Дата завершення
Aug 22, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 20, 2026, 8:30 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources including the Met Office, WeatherBug, and regional analyses indicate Mexico City's overnight low on August 22 will likely fall between 13–16 °C, with trader probabilities clustered around 14–16 °C reflecting modest model spread. Persistent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms tied to the summer rainy season limit radiative cooling at the city's 2,240 m elevation, while light northerly winds and high humidity slow temperature drops after daytime highs near 20–23 °C. Minor differences in precipitation timing or clearing windows could shift the minimum by 1–2 °C, sustaining close market-implied odds across the 11–16 °C range as resolution nears.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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