National Weather Service forecasts point to a high near 98°F for Houston on August 21 under mostly sunny skies, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on the 98-99°F bin. A Heat Advisory remains in effect amid a regional heat wave, with recent daily maxima in the mid- to upper 90s and limited cloud cover or sea-breeze cooling expected to limit further rises. Model guidance shows modest spread around this value, reflecting typical late-August variability in Gulf moisture and steering flow. Historical August highs average 93–95°F, so current conditions represent a modest positive anomaly that supports the 100–101°F outcome at roughly 30 percent implied probability while keeping lower or extreme bins as low-probability tails.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Houston on August 21?
Highest temperature in Houston on August 21?
98-99°F 55%
100-101°F 32%
96-97°F 9%
102-103°F 6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 21, 2026
91°F or below
<1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
3%
96-97°F
9%
98-99°F
55%
100-101°F
32%
102-103°F
6%
104-105°F
2%
106-107°F
1%
108-109°F
<1%
110°F or higher
<1%
98-99°F 55%
100-101°F 32%
96-97°F 9%
102-103°F 6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 21, 2026
91°F or below
$222 Обс.
<1%
92-93°F
$55 Обс.
1%
94-95°F
$137 Обс.
3%
96-97°F
$86 Обс.
9%
98-99°F
$321 Обс.
55%
100-101°F
$227 Обс.
32%
102-103°F
$56 Обс.
6%
104-105°F
$55 Обс.
2%
106-107°F
$62 Обс.
1%
108-109°F
$121 Обс.
<1%
110°F or higher
$277 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts point to a high near 98°F for Houston on August 21 under mostly sunny skies, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on the 98-99°F bin. A Heat Advisory remains in effect amid a regional heat wave, with recent daily maxima in the mid- to upper 90s and limited cloud cover or sea-breeze cooling expected to limit further rises. Model guidance shows modest spread around this value, reflecting typical late-August variability in Gulf moisture and steering flow. Historical August highs average 93–95°F, so current conditions represent a modest positive anomaly that supports the 100–101°F outcome at roughly 30 percent implied probability while keeping lower or extreme bins as low-probability tails.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 19, 2026, 9:57 PM ET
Обсяг
$1,619Дата завершення
Aug 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 19, 2026, 9:57 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts point to a high near 98°F for Houston on August 21 under mostly sunny skies, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on the 98-99°F bin. A Heat Advisory remains in effect amid a regional heat wave, with recent daily maxima in the mid- to upper 90s and limited cloud cover or sea-breeze cooling expected to limit further rises. Model guidance shows modest spread around this value, reflecting typical late-August variability in Gulf moisture and steering flow. Historical August highs average 93–95°F, so current conditions represent a modest positive anomaly that supports the 100–101°F outcome at roughly 30 percent implied probability while keeping lower or extreme bins as low-probability tails.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,619Дата завершення
Aug 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 19, 2026, 9:57 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts point to a high near 98°F for Houston on August 21 under mostly sunny skies, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on the 98-99°F bin. A Heat Advisory remains in effect amid a regional heat wave, with recent daily maxima in the mid- to upper 90s and limited cloud cover or sea-breeze cooling expected to limit further rises. Model guidance shows modest spread around this value, reflecting typical late-August variability in Gulf moisture and steering flow. Historical August highs average 93–95°F, so current conditions represent a modest positive anomaly that supports the 100–101°F outcome at roughly 30 percent implied probability while keeping lower or extreme bins as low-probability tails.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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