**Trader sentiment for Houston’s August 20 high temperature centers on the 98–99 °F bin (53.5 % implied probability) because current forecast guidance from NOAA/NWS and private models consistently projects a maximum near 99 °F under mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow.** Persistent subtropical ridging has maintained hot, humid conditions across southeast Texas, with recent daily highs in the upper 90s to low 100s and minimal cloud cover or precipitation expected through the period. The 100–101 °F range sits at 23 % as a plausible upside if daytime heating exceeds model consensus or dew points remain elevated enough to limit mixing. Lower bins (96–97 °F at 12.5 %) reflect the chance of slightly greater afternoon cloudiness or a weak boundary arriving earlier than anticipated. Historical August climatology for Houston (average high ~95–96 °F) places these values near or slightly above normal, supporting the market’s concentration around 98–100 °F absent any significant model shift in the final 24–48 hours.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Houston on August 20?
Highest temperature in Houston on August 20?
98-99°F 54%
100-101°F 23%
96-97°F 12%
102-103°F 5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 20, 2026
91°F or below
<1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
4%
96-97°F
12%
98-99°F
54%
100-101°F
23%
102-103°F
5%
104-105°F
3%
106-107°F
1%
108-109°F
<1%
110°F or higher
<1%
98-99°F 54%
100-101°F 23%
96-97°F 12%
102-103°F 5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 20, 2026
91°F or below
$13 Обс.
<1%
92-93°F
$5 Обс.
1%
94-95°F
$76 Обс.
4%
96-97°F
$92 Обс.
12%
98-99°F
$254 Обс.
54%
100-101°F
$202 Обс.
23%
102-103°F
$1 Обс.
5%
104-105°F
$36 Обс.
3%
106-107°F
$45 Обс.
1%
108-109°F
$11 Обс.
<1%
110°F or higher
$15 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Houston’s August 20 high temperature centers on the 98–99 °F bin (53.5 % implied probability) because current forecast guidance from NOAA/NWS and private models consistently projects a maximum near 99 °F under mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow.**
Persistent subtropical ridging has maintained hot, humid conditions across southeast Texas, with recent daily highs in the upper 90s to low 100s and minimal cloud cover or precipitation expected through the period. The 100–101 °F range sits at 23 % as a plausible upside if daytime heating exceeds model consensus or dew points remain elevated enough to limit mixing. Lower bins (96–97 °F at 12.5 %) reflect the chance of slightly greater afternoon cloudiness or a weak boundary arriving earlier than anticipated. Historical August climatology for Houston (average high ~95–96 °F) places these values near or slightly above normal, supporting the market’s concentration around 98–100 °F absent any significant model shift in the final 24–48 hours.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 18, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
Обсяг
$744Дата завершення
Aug 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 18, 2026, 9:56 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Houston’s August 20 high temperature centers on the 98–99 °F bin (53.5 % implied probability) because current forecast guidance from NOAA/NWS and private models consistently projects a maximum near 99 °F under mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow.**
Persistent subtropical ridging has maintained hot, humid conditions across southeast Texas, with recent daily highs in the upper 90s to low 100s and minimal cloud cover or precipitation expected through the period. The 100–101 °F range sits at 23 % as a plausible upside if daytime heating exceeds model consensus or dew points remain elevated enough to limit mixing. Lower bins (96–97 °F at 12.5 %) reflect the chance of slightly greater afternoon cloudiness or a weak boundary arriving earlier than anticipated. Historical August climatology for Houston (average high ~95–96 °F) places these values near or slightly above normal, supporting the market’s concentration around 98–100 °F absent any significant model shift in the final 24–48 hours.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$744Дата завершення
Aug 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 18, 2026, 9:56 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Houston’s August 20 high temperature centers on the 98–99 °F bin (53.5 % implied probability) because current forecast guidance from NOAA/NWS and private models consistently projects a maximum near 99 °F under mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow.** Persistent subtropical ridging has maintained hot, humid conditions across southeast Texas, with recent daily highs in the upper 90s to low 100s and minimal cloud cover or precipitation expected through the period. The 100–101 °F range sits at 23 % as a plausible upside if daytime heating exceeds model consensus or dew points remain elevated enough to limit mixing. Lower bins (96–97 °F at 12.5 %) reflect the chance of slightly greater afternoon cloudiness or a weak boundary arriving earlier than anticipated. Historical August climatology for Houston (average high ~95–96 °F) places these values near or slightly above normal, supporting the market’s concentration around 98–100 °F absent any significant model shift in the final 24–48 hours.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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