Recent Met Office guidance forecasting a 22°C maximum for London on August 22 under variable cloud and scattered showers has anchored market-implied odds, with 22°C at 35.5% leading narrowly over 21°C and 23°C. Ensemble model spreads highlight uncertainty in daytime solar heating tied to cloud breaks versus thundery activity, while a cooling Atlantic airflow keeps values near seasonal norms rather than earlier summer peaks. Traders weigh these variables against historical late-August variability, where small shifts in ridge placement or frontal timing can alter the daily high by 1–2°C; updated runs from the Met Office and ECMWF over the next 48 hours will likely refine the distribution before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in London on August 22?
Highest temperature in London on August 22?
22°C 36%
21°C 27%
23°C 22%
24°C 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 22, 2026
18°C or below
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
7%
21°C
27%
22°C
36%
23°C
22%
24°C
8%
25°C
2%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
22°C 36%
21°C 27%
23°C 22%
24°C 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 22, 2026
18°C or below
$90 Обс.
1%
19°C
$35 Обс.
2%
20°C
$19 Обс.
7%
21°C
$442 Обс.
27%
22°C
$463 Обс.
36%
23°C
$343 Обс.
22%
24°C
$199 Обс.
8%
25°C
$333 Обс.
2%
26°C
$734 Обс.
1%
27°C
$2,080 Обс.
<1%
28°C or higher
$1,767 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance forecasting a 22°C maximum for London on August 22 under variable cloud and scattered showers has anchored market-implied odds, with 22°C at 35.5% leading narrowly over 21°C and 23°C. Ensemble model spreads highlight uncertainty in daytime solar heating tied to cloud breaks versus thundery activity, while a cooling Atlantic airflow keeps values near seasonal norms rather than earlier summer peaks. Traders weigh these variables against historical late-August variability, where small shifts in ridge placement or frontal timing can alter the daily high by 1–2°C; updated runs from the Met Office and ECMWF over the next 48 hours will likely refine the distribution before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$6,505Дата завершення
Aug 22, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance forecasting a 22°C maximum for London on August 22 under variable cloud and scattered showers has anchored market-implied odds, with 22°C at 35.5% leading narrowly over 21°C and 23°C. Ensemble model spreads highlight uncertainty in daytime solar heating tied to cloud breaks versus thundery activity, while a cooling Atlantic airflow keeps values near seasonal norms rather than earlier summer peaks. Traders weigh these variables against historical late-August variability, where small shifts in ridge placement or frontal timing can alter the daily high by 1–2°C; updated runs from the Met Office and ECMWF over the next 48 hours will likely refine the distribution before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$6,505Дата завершення
Aug 22, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office guidance forecasting a 22°C maximum for London on August 22 under variable cloud and scattered showers has anchored market-implied odds, with 22°C at 35.5% leading narrowly over 21°C and 23°C. Ensemble model spreads highlight uncertainty in daytime solar heating tied to cloud breaks versus thundery activity, while a cooling Atlantic airflow keeps values near seasonal norms rather than earlier summer peaks. Traders weigh these variables against historical late-August variability, where small shifts in ridge placement or frontal timing can alter the daily high by 1–2°C; updated runs from the Met Office and ECMWF over the next 48 hours will likely refine the distribution before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання