National Weather Service short-range guidance and ensemble model consensus currently point to a Central Park high in the low-to-mid 80s for August 20, driven by a warm, humid airmass with moderate southerly flow and variable cloud cover that limits peak solar heating. Potential sea-breeze influence from the Atlantic and scattered shower activity could further cap temperatures near 80–83°F, aligning with the market’s combined 60% implied probability on those brackets. Climatological normals place the mid-August average near 83–84°F, so recent model runs showing modest suppression from moisture and onshore winds explain the slight downward tilt in trader positioning relative to seasonal baselines, with resolution hinging on the precise timing and coverage of any convection.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in NYC on August 20?
Highest temperature in NYC on August 20?
80-81°F 35%
82-83°F 25%
78-79°F 17%
84-85°F 15%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 20, 2026
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
17%
80-81°F
35%
82-83°F
25%
84-85°F
15%
86-87°F
7%
88-89°F
1%
90°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 35%
82-83°F 25%
78-79°F 17%
84-85°F 15%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 20, 2026
71°F or below
$0 Обс.
<1%
72-73°F
$80 Обс.
1%
74-75°F
$80 Обс.
1%
76-77°F
$100 Обс.
5%
78-79°F
$384 Обс.
17%
80-81°F
$607 Обс.
35%
82-83°F
$121 Обс.
25%
84-85°F
$1,379 Обс.
15%
86-87°F
$1,636 Обс.
7%
88-89°F
$0 Обс.
1%
90°F or higher
$0 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service short-range guidance and ensemble model consensus currently point to a Central Park high in the low-to-mid 80s for August 20, driven by a warm, humid airmass with moderate southerly flow and variable cloud cover that limits peak solar heating. Potential sea-breeze influence from the Atlantic and scattered shower activity could further cap temperatures near 80–83°F, aligning with the market’s combined 60% implied probability on those brackets. Climatological normals place the mid-August average near 83–84°F, so recent model runs showing modest suppression from moisture and onshore winds explain the slight downward tilt in trader positioning relative to seasonal baselines, with resolution hinging on the precise timing and coverage of any convection.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 18, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
Обсяг
$4,386Дата завершення
Aug 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 18, 2026, 9:56 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service short-range guidance and ensemble model consensus currently point to a Central Park high in the low-to-mid 80s for August 20, driven by a warm, humid airmass with moderate southerly flow and variable cloud cover that limits peak solar heating. Potential sea-breeze influence from the Atlantic and scattered shower activity could further cap temperatures near 80–83°F, aligning with the market’s combined 60% implied probability on those brackets. Climatological normals place the mid-August average near 83–84°F, so recent model runs showing modest suppression from moisture and onshore winds explain the slight downward tilt in trader positioning relative to seasonal baselines, with resolution hinging on the precise timing and coverage of any convection.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$4,386Дата завершення
Aug 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 18, 2026, 9:56 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service short-range guidance and ensemble model consensus currently point to a Central Park high in the low-to-mid 80s for August 20, driven by a warm, humid airmass with moderate southerly flow and variable cloud cover that limits peak solar heating. Potential sea-breeze influence from the Atlantic and scattered shower activity could further cap temperatures near 80–83°F, aligning with the market’s combined 60% implied probability on those brackets. Climatological normals place the mid-August average near 83–84°F, so recent model runs showing modest suppression from moisture and onshore winds explain the slight downward tilt in trader positioning relative to seasonal baselines, with resolution hinging on the precise timing and coverage of any convection.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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