**Traders have converged on an 82-83°F high for Austin on June 15, 2026, because the official National Weather Service climatological report for Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS) recorded a maximum temperature in that narrow band.** This outcome reflects the station’s verified daily maximum, the resolution source used by prediction markets. June climatology in central Texas typically features highs near 93°F, but persistent cloud cover, light rain, and a cooler air mass suppressed temperatures well below average, keeping the peak around the low 80s. Model guidance and surface observations throughout the day aligned closely with this range, giving markets high confidence once preliminary data emerged. A realistic challenge would require an official revision to the NWS report or use of a non-standard station, both of which are rare for this event. The near-certain market pricing underscores how real-time official measurements anchor trader consensus when uncertainty collapses after the observation window closes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Austin on June 15?
Highest temperature in Austin on June 15?
82-83°F 100.0%
73°F or below <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$63,649 Обс.
$63,649 Обс.
Jun 15, 2026
73°F or below
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
Yes
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92°F or higher
No
82-83°F 100.0%
73°F or below <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$63,649 Обс.
$63,649 Обс.
Jun 15, 2026
73°F or below
$263 Обс.
No
74-75°F
$1,675 Обс.
No
76-77°F
$4,091 Обс.
No
78-79°F
$10,633 Обс.
No
80-81°F
$6,851 Обс.
No
82-83°F
$7,851 Обс.
Yes
84-85°F
$6,629 Обс.
No
86-87°F
$8,719 Обс.
No
88-89°F
$6,769 Обс.
No
90-91°F
$5,557 Обс.
No
92°F or higher
$4,611 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Traders have converged on an 82-83°F high for Austin on June 15, 2026, because the official National Weather Service climatological report for Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS) recorded a maximum temperature in that narrow band.**
This outcome reflects the station’s verified daily maximum, the resolution source used by prediction markets. June climatology in central Texas typically features highs near 93°F, but persistent cloud cover, light rain, and a cooler air mass suppressed temperatures well below average, keeping the peak around the low 80s.
Model guidance and surface observations throughout the day aligned closely with this range, giving markets high confidence once preliminary data emerged. A realistic challenge would require an official revision to the NWS report or use of a non-standard station, both of which are rare for this event. The near-certain market pricing underscores how real-time official measurements anchor trader consensus when uncertainty collapses after the observation window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Обсяг
$63,649Дата завершення
Jun 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Traders have converged on an 82-83°F high for Austin on June 15, 2026, because the official National Weather Service climatological report for Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS) recorded a maximum temperature in that narrow band.**
This outcome reflects the station’s verified daily maximum, the resolution source used by prediction markets. June climatology in central Texas typically features highs near 93°F, but persistent cloud cover, light rain, and a cooler air mass suppressed temperatures well below average, keeping the peak around the low 80s.
Model guidance and surface observations throughout the day aligned closely with this range, giving markets high confidence once preliminary data emerged. A realistic challenge would require an official revision to the NWS report or use of a non-standard station, both of which are rare for this event. The near-certain market pricing underscores how real-time official measurements anchor trader consensus when uncertainty collapses after the observation window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$63,649Дата завершення
Jun 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
**Traders have converged on an 82-83°F high for Austin on June 15, 2026, because the official National Weather Service climatological report for Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS) recorded a maximum temperature in that narrow band.** This outcome reflects the station’s verified daily maximum, the resolution source used by prediction markets. June climatology in central Texas typically features highs near 93°F, but persistent cloud cover, light rain, and a cooler air mass suppressed temperatures well below average, keeping the peak around the low 80s. Model guidance and surface observations throughout the day aligned closely with this range, giving markets high confidence once preliminary data emerged. A realistic challenge would require an official revision to the NWS report or use of a non-standard station, both of which are rare for this event. The near-certain market pricing underscores how real-time official measurements anchor trader consensus when uncertainty collapses after the observation window closes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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