National Weather Service guidance, last updated late May 4, projects a high near 59°F at Chicago O'Hare International Airport on May 5 under mostly cloudy skies with isolated morning showers and north-northwest winds around 10 mph, aligning with trader consensus implying 100% probability of 60°F or higher as the market nears resolution. This positioning stems from a sharp rebound from early May chills (highs near 50°F on May 1), May climatological normals of 66.6°F, and prior model runs favoring mid-60s amid weak frontal influences and ample solar potential despite cloudiness. Realistic challenges include prolonged overcast conditions or unexpected precipitation suppressing daytime heating, though short-fuse updates from NOAA hourly observations remain key before official daily max reporting.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Chicago on May 5?
Highest temperature in Chicago on May 5?
60°F or higher 100.0%
41°F or below <1%
42-43°F <1%
44-45°F <1%
$89,072 Обс.
$89,072 Обс.
May 5, 2026
41°F or below
No
42-43°F
No
44-45°F
No
46-47°F
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60°F or higher
Yes
60°F or higher 100.0%
41°F or below <1%
42-43°F <1%
44-45°F <1%
$89,072 Обс.
$89,072 Обс.
May 5, 2026
41°F or below
$27,074 Обс.
No
42-43°F
$8,271 Обс.
No
44-45°F
$5,358 Обс.
No
46-47°F
$5,976 Обс.
No
48-49°F
$9,026 Обс.
No
50-51°F
$5,701 Обс.
No
52-53°F
$3,455 Обс.
No
54-55°F
$4,778 Обс.
No
56-57°F
$6,419 Обс.
No
58-59°F
$5,259 Обс.
No
60°F or higher
$7,755 Обс.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service guidance, last updated late May 4, projects a high near 59°F at Chicago O'Hare International Airport on May 5 under mostly cloudy skies with isolated morning showers and north-northwest winds around 10 mph, aligning with trader consensus implying 100% probability of 60°F or higher as the market nears resolution. This positioning stems from a sharp rebound from early May chills (highs near 50°F on May 1), May climatological normals of 66.6°F, and prior model runs favoring mid-60s amid weak frontal influences and ample solar potential despite cloudiness. Realistic challenges include prolonged overcast conditions or unexpected precipitation suppressing daytime heating, though short-fuse updates from NOAA hourly observations remain key before official daily max reporting.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 3, 2026, 12:20 AM ET
Обсяг
$89,072Дата завершення
May 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 3, 2026, 12:20 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service guidance, last updated late May 4, projects a high near 59°F at Chicago O'Hare International Airport on May 5 under mostly cloudy skies with isolated morning showers and north-northwest winds around 10 mph, aligning with trader consensus implying 100% probability of 60°F or higher as the market nears resolution. This positioning stems from a sharp rebound from early May chills (highs near 50°F on May 1), May climatological normals of 66.6°F, and prior model runs favoring mid-60s amid weak frontal influences and ample solar potential despite cloudiness. Realistic challenges include prolonged overcast conditions or unexpected precipitation suppressing daytime heating, though short-fuse updates from NOAA hourly observations remain key before official daily max reporting.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$89,072Дата завершення
May 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 3, 2026, 12:20 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
National Weather Service guidance, last updated late May 4, projects a high near 59°F at Chicago O'Hare International Airport on May 5 under mostly cloudy skies with isolated morning showers and north-northwest winds around 10 mph, aligning with trader consensus implying 100% probability of 60°F or higher as the market nears resolution. This positioning stems from a sharp rebound from early May chills (highs near 50°F on May 1), May climatological normals of 66.6°F, and prior model runs favoring mid-60s amid weak frontal influences and ample solar potential despite cloudiness. Realistic challenges include prolonged overcast conditions or unexpected precipitation suppressing daytime heating, though short-fuse updates from NOAA hourly observations remain key before official daily max reporting.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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