Recent forecasts from NOAA and local models indicate a moderation from Chicago's midweek heat wave, with July 4 highs most likely settling in the mid-to-upper 80s amid increased cloud cover, higher dew points, and scattered showers or thunderstorms. These conditions limit surface heating and solar radiation compared to the clearer, hotter days earlier in the week, aligning with the historical July 4 normal of 84°F. Trader emphasis on the 84–87°F bins reflects model consensus on this range while acknowledging timing uncertainties in storm development that could shift the daily maximum by a degree or two.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Chicago on July 4?
Highest temperature in Chicago on July 4?
82-83°F 100.0%
75°F or below <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$87,488 Обс.
$87,488 Обс.
Jul 4, 2026
75°F or below
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
Yes
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94°F or higher
No
82-83°F 100.0%
75°F or below <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$87,488 Обс.
$87,488 Обс.
Jul 4, 2026
75°F or below
$11,583 Обс.
No
76-77°F
$5,821 Обс.
No
78-79°F
$9,078 Обс.
No
80-81°F
$9,476 Обс.
No
82-83°F
$11,704 Обс.
Yes
84-85°F
$15,260 Обс.
No
86-87°F
$6,083 Обс.
No
88-89°F
$7,298 Обс.
No
90-91°F
$4,576 Обс.
No
92-93°F
$2,750 Обс.
No
94°F or higher
$3,859 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from NOAA and local models indicate a moderation from Chicago's midweek heat wave, with July 4 highs most likely settling in the mid-to-upper 80s amid increased cloud cover, higher dew points, and scattered showers or thunderstorms. These conditions limit surface heating and solar radiation compared to the clearer, hotter days earlier in the week, aligning with the historical July 4 normal of 84°F. Trader emphasis on the 84–87°F bins reflects model consensus on this range while acknowledging timing uncertainties in storm development that could shift the daily maximum by a degree or two.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 2, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Обсяг
$87,488Дата завершення
Jul 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 2, 2026, 9:02 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from NOAA and local models indicate a moderation from Chicago's midweek heat wave, with July 4 highs most likely settling in the mid-to-upper 80s amid increased cloud cover, higher dew points, and scattered showers or thunderstorms. These conditions limit surface heating and solar radiation compared to the clearer, hotter days earlier in the week, aligning with the historical July 4 normal of 84°F. Trader emphasis on the 84–87°F bins reflects model consensus on this range while acknowledging timing uncertainties in storm development that could shift the daily maximum by a degree or two.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$87,488Дата завершення
Jul 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 2, 2026, 9:02 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Recent forecasts from NOAA and local models indicate a moderation from Chicago's midweek heat wave, with July 4 highs most likely settling in the mid-to-upper 80s amid increased cloud cover, higher dew points, and scattered showers or thunderstorms. These conditions limit surface heating and solar radiation compared to the clearer, hotter days earlier in the week, aligning with the historical July 4 normal of 84°F. Trader emphasis on the 84–87°F bins reflects model consensus on this range while acknowledging timing uncertainties in storm development that could shift the daily maximum by a degree or two.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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