Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate cloudy skies over Tokyo on July 12, 2026, with possible scattered showers that limit daytime heating and favor a daily maximum near 28–30 °C. Recent observations of below-normal temperatures, including a 24 °C high on July 7, reinforce trader positioning around these central outcomes, while the broader seasonal outlook for above-average warmth has little near-term influence. Model consensus highlights modest uncertainty from variable cloud cover and humidity, which can shift peak readings by 1–2 °C; updated JMA guidance and observational data in the next 48 hours will likely refine the tight spread among 28 °C, 29 °C, and 30 °C contracts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Tokyo on July 12?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on July 12?
29°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$59,521 Обс.
$59,521 Обс.
Jul 12, 2026
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$59,521 Обс.
$59,521 Обс.
Jul 12, 2026
23°C or below
$510 Обс.
No
24°C
$440 Обс.
No
25°C
$1,543 Обс.
No
26°C
$3,420 Обс.
No
27°C
$6,990 Обс.
No
28°C
$10,242 Обс.
No
29°C
$11,328 Обс.
Yes
30°C
$7,816 Обс.
No
31°C
$9,167 Обс.
No
32°C
$3,929 Обс.
No
33°C or higher
$4,137 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate cloudy skies over Tokyo on July 12, 2026, with possible scattered showers that limit daytime heating and favor a daily maximum near 28–30 °C. Recent observations of below-normal temperatures, including a 24 °C high on July 7, reinforce trader positioning around these central outcomes, while the broader seasonal outlook for above-average warmth has little near-term influence. Model consensus highlights modest uncertainty from variable cloud cover and humidity, which can shift peak readings by 1–2 °C; updated JMA guidance and observational data in the next 48 hours will likely refine the tight spread among 28 °C, 29 °C, and 30 °C contracts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 10, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Обсяг
$59,521Дата завершення
Jul 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 10, 2026, 12:02 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate cloudy skies over Tokyo on July 12, 2026, with possible scattered showers that limit daytime heating and favor a daily maximum near 28–30 °C. Recent observations of below-normal temperatures, including a 24 °C high on July 7, reinforce trader positioning around these central outcomes, while the broader seasonal outlook for above-average warmth has little near-term influence. Model consensus highlights modest uncertainty from variable cloud cover and humidity, which can shift peak readings by 1–2 °C; updated JMA guidance and observational data in the next 48 hours will likely refine the tight spread among 28 °C, 29 °C, and 30 °C contracts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$59,521Дата завершення
Jul 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 10, 2026, 12:02 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate cloudy skies over Tokyo on July 12, 2026, with possible scattered showers that limit daytime heating and favor a daily maximum near 28–30 °C. Recent observations of below-normal temperatures, including a 24 °C high on July 7, reinforce trader positioning around these central outcomes, while the broader seasonal outlook for above-average warmth has little near-term influence. Model consensus highlights modest uncertainty from variable cloud cover and humidity, which can shift peak readings by 1–2 °C; updated JMA guidance and observational data in the next 48 hours will likely refine the tight spread among 28 °C, 29 °C, and 30 °C contracts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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