Recent meteorological forecasts for Moscow indicate daytime highs near 21–24°C on July 25, with ensemble models showing moderate spread due to variable cloud cover and possible light showers. This uncertainty, combined with typical July variability in mid-latitude summer patterns over central Russia, supports the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 19–21°C. Key differentiating factors include evolving high-pressure ridge strength, which controls daytime heating rates, and boundary-layer moisture that modulates maximum temperatures through evaporative cooling. Updated model runs from agencies like ECMWF or GFS in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of the observation window.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Moscow on July 25?
Highest temperature in Moscow on July 25?
23°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$34,522 Обс.
$34,522 Обс.
Jul 25, 2026
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$34,522 Обс.
$34,522 Обс.
Jul 25, 2026
17°C or below
$1,876 Обс.
No
18°C
$2,580 Обс.
No
19°C
$2,744 Обс.
No
20°C
$3,507 Обс.
No
21°C
$5,464 Обс.
No
22°C
$5,928 Обс.
No
23°C
$4,926 Обс.
Yes
24°C
$3,731 Обс.
No
25°C
$2,687 Обс.
No
26°C
$785 Обс.
No
27°C or higher
$295 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts for Moscow indicate daytime highs near 21–24°C on July 25, with ensemble models showing moderate spread due to variable cloud cover and possible light showers. This uncertainty, combined with typical July variability in mid-latitude summer patterns over central Russia, supports the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 19–21°C. Key differentiating factors include evolving high-pressure ridge strength, which controls daytime heating rates, and boundary-layer moisture that modulates maximum temperatures through evaporative cooling. Updated model runs from agencies like ECMWF or GFS in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of the observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 23, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$34,522Дата завершення
Jul 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 23, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts for Moscow indicate daytime highs near 21–24°C on July 25, with ensemble models showing moderate spread due to variable cloud cover and possible light showers. This uncertainty, combined with typical July variability in mid-latitude summer patterns over central Russia, supports the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 19–21°C. Key differentiating factors include evolving high-pressure ridge strength, which controls daytime heating rates, and boundary-layer moisture that modulates maximum temperatures through evaporative cooling. Updated model runs from agencies like ECMWF or GFS in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of the observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$34,522Дата завершення
Jul 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 23, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Recent meteorological forecasts for Moscow indicate daytime highs near 21–24°C on July 25, with ensemble models showing moderate spread due to variable cloud cover and possible light showers. This uncertainty, combined with typical July variability in mid-latitude summer patterns over central Russia, supports the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 19–21°C. Key differentiating factors include evolving high-pressure ridge strength, which controls daytime heating rates, and boundary-layer moisture that modulates maximum temperatures through evaporative cooling. Updated model runs from agencies like ECMWF or GFS in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of the observation window.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання