Recent forecasts from sources including Trip.com indicate heavy rain and thunderstorms in Guangzhou on July 7, 2026, with projected highs near 30°C, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 30–31°C (combined ~48%). In this subtropical monsoon climate, persistent cloud cover and precipitation reduce incoming solar radiation and surface heating, suppressing maximum temperatures relative to the July climatological average of 32–33°C. Scattered convective activity, common in early July due to high humidity (often >80%) and monsoon flow, introduces model variability in rainfall timing and intensity that differentiates 29°C from 32–33°C outcomes. Updated model runs closer to the date will refine these probabilities as resolution criteria focus on the official daily maximum.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Guangzhou on July 7?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on July 7?
31°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$116,653 Обс.
$116,653 Обс.
Jul 7, 2026
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$116,653 Обс.
$116,653 Обс.
Jul 7, 2026
25°C or below
$3,403 Обс.
No
26°C
$3,252 Обс.
No
27°C
$6,927 Обс.
No
28°C
$9,003 Обс.
No
29°C
$15,448 Обс.
No
30°C
$22,091 Обс.
No
31°C
$10,231 Обс.
Yes
32°C
$9,977 Обс.
No
33°C
$14,644 Обс.
No
34°C
$13,080 Обс.
No
35°C or higher
$8,597 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including Trip.com indicate heavy rain and thunderstorms in Guangzhou on July 7, 2026, with projected highs near 30°C, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 30–31°C (combined ~48%). In this subtropical monsoon climate, persistent cloud cover and precipitation reduce incoming solar radiation and surface heating, suppressing maximum temperatures relative to the July climatological average of 32–33°C. Scattered convective activity, common in early July due to high humidity (often >80%) and monsoon flow, introduces model variability in rainfall timing and intensity that differentiates 29°C from 32–33°C outcomes. Updated model runs closer to the date will refine these probabilities as resolution criteria focus on the official daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 5, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Обсяг
$116,653Дата завершення
Jul 7, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 5, 2026, 12:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including Trip.com indicate heavy rain and thunderstorms in Guangzhou on July 7, 2026, with projected highs near 30°C, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 30–31°C (combined ~48%). In this subtropical monsoon climate, persistent cloud cover and precipitation reduce incoming solar radiation and surface heating, suppressing maximum temperatures relative to the July climatological average of 32–33°C. Scattered convective activity, common in early July due to high humidity (often >80%) and monsoon flow, introduces model variability in rainfall timing and intensity that differentiates 29°C from 32–33°C outcomes. Updated model runs closer to the date will refine these probabilities as resolution criteria focus on the official daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$116,653Дата завершення
Jul 7, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 5, 2026, 12:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Recent forecasts from sources including Trip.com indicate heavy rain and thunderstorms in Guangzhou on July 7, 2026, with projected highs near 30°C, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 30–31°C (combined ~48%). In this subtropical monsoon climate, persistent cloud cover and precipitation reduce incoming solar radiation and surface heating, suppressing maximum temperatures relative to the July climatological average of 32–33°C. Scattered convective activity, common in early July due to high humidity (often >80%) and monsoon flow, introduces model variability in rainfall timing and intensity that differentiates 29°C from 32–33°C outcomes. Updated model runs closer to the date will refine these probabilities as resolution criteria focus on the official daily maximum.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання