Traders have converged on a 34°C high for Guangzhou on May 31 because multiple regional meteorological ensemble models produced tightly clustered daytime maximum forecasts around that value under persistent subtropical monsoon flow and moderate boundary-layer moisture. Official observations from the China Meteorological Administration align with these runs, confirming the peak under typical late-May conditions where historical averages range from 29–32°C. The market-implied odds reflect this strong model consensus and skin-in-the-game assessment of minimal upside or downside risk. Only an unexpected post-analysis revision to the official record or an unforecast mesoscale event could alter the outcome at this stage.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Guangzhou on May 31?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on May 31?
34°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$90,223 Обс.
$90,223 Обс.
May 31, 2026
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$90,223 Обс.
$90,223 Обс.
May 31, 2026
28°C or below
$9,365 Обс.
No
29°C
$2,644 Обс.
No
30°C
$12,538 Обс.
No
31°C
$5,523 Обс.
No
32°C
$10,257 Обс.
No
33°C
$5,664 Обс.
No
34°C
$11,643 Обс.
Yes
35°C
$9,308 Обс.
No
36°C
$13,292 Обс.
No
37°C
$6,827 Обс.
No
38°C or higher
$3,162 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged on a 34°C high for Guangzhou on May 31 because multiple regional meteorological ensemble models produced tightly clustered daytime maximum forecasts around that value under persistent subtropical monsoon flow and moderate boundary-layer moisture. Official observations from the China Meteorological Administration align with these runs, confirming the peak under typical late-May conditions where historical averages range from 29–32°C. The market-implied odds reflect this strong model consensus and skin-in-the-game assessment of minimal upside or downside risk. Only an unexpected post-analysis revision to the official record or an unforecast mesoscale event could alter the outcome at this stage.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: May 29, 2026, 12:26 AM ET
Обсяг
$90,223Дата завершення
May 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 29, 2026, 12:26 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged on a 34°C high for Guangzhou on May 31 because multiple regional meteorological ensemble models produced tightly clustered daytime maximum forecasts around that value under persistent subtropical monsoon flow and moderate boundary-layer moisture. Official observations from the China Meteorological Administration align with these runs, confirming the peak under typical late-May conditions where historical averages range from 29–32°C. The market-implied odds reflect this strong model consensus and skin-in-the-game assessment of minimal upside or downside risk. Only an unexpected post-analysis revision to the official record or an unforecast mesoscale event could alter the outcome at this stage.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$90,223Дата завершення
May 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 29, 2026, 12:26 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Traders have converged on a 34°C high for Guangzhou on May 31 because multiple regional meteorological ensemble models produced tightly clustered daytime maximum forecasts around that value under persistent subtropical monsoon flow and moderate boundary-layer moisture. Official observations from the China Meteorological Administration align with these runs, confirming the peak under typical late-May conditions where historical averages range from 29–32°C. The market-implied odds reflect this strong model consensus and skin-in-the-game assessment of minimal upside or downside risk. Only an unexpected post-analysis revision to the official record or an unforecast mesoscale event could alter the outcome at this stage.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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