Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a near-100% implied probability for Helsinki's highest temperature reaching exactly 7°C on April 26, driven by Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI) observational data and hourly forecasts showing a midday peak of 7°C at stations like Viikki, followed by a steady drop to 4°C amid persistent northwest winds of 5-9 m/s and partly cloudy conditions. Current late-evening readings align with this, as solar heating diminishes post-15:00 with sunset approaching around 20:30. April climatology supports such cool snaps, with historical late-month highs averaging 7-8°C under northerly flow. Realistic challenges include an improbable sudden wind lull and clearing skies enabling a brief 1°C spike before resolution based on FMI's Helsinki-Vantaa Airport station data, but model consensus indicates negligible risk.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Helsinki on April 26?
Highest temperature in Helsinki on April 26?
7°C 100.0%
1°C or below <1%
2°C <1%
3°C <1%
$57,593 Обс.
$57,593 Обс.
Apr 26, 2026
1°C or below
No
2°C
No
3°C
No
4°C
No
5°C
No
6°C
No
7°C
Yes
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C or higher
No
7°C 100.0%
1°C or below <1%
2°C <1%
3°C <1%
$57,593 Обс.
$57,593 Обс.
Apr 26, 2026
1°C or below
$1,295 Обс.
No
2°C
$1,336 Обс.
No
3°C
$848 Обс.
No
4°C
$2,232 Обс.
No
5°C
$7,868 Обс.
No
6°C
$10,111 Обс.
No
7°C
$15,646 Обс.
Yes
8°C
$7,211 Обс.
No
9°C
$4,074 Обс.
No
10°C
$2,152 Обс.
No
11°C or higher
$4,818 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a near-100% implied probability for Helsinki's highest temperature reaching exactly 7°C on April 26, driven by Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI) observational data and hourly forecasts showing a midday peak of 7°C at stations like Viikki, followed by a steady drop to 4°C amid persistent northwest winds of 5-9 m/s and partly cloudy conditions. Current late-evening readings align with this, as solar heating diminishes post-15:00 with sunset approaching around 20:30. April climatology supports such cool snaps, with historical late-month highs averaging 7-8°C under northerly flow. Realistic challenges include an improbable sudden wind lull and clearing skies enabling a brief 1°C spike before resolution based on FMI's Helsinki-Vantaa Airport station data, but model consensus indicates negligible risk.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 24, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
Обсяг
$57,593Дата завершення
Apr 26, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 24, 2026, 12:23 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a near-100% implied probability for Helsinki's highest temperature reaching exactly 7°C on April 26, driven by Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI) observational data and hourly forecasts showing a midday peak of 7°C at stations like Viikki, followed by a steady drop to 4°C amid persistent northwest winds of 5-9 m/s and partly cloudy conditions. Current late-evening readings align with this, as solar heating diminishes post-15:00 with sunset approaching around 20:30. April climatology supports such cool snaps, with historical late-month highs averaging 7-8°C under northerly flow. Realistic challenges include an improbable sudden wind lull and clearing skies enabling a brief 1°C spike before resolution based on FMI's Helsinki-Vantaa Airport station data, but model consensus indicates negligible risk.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$57,593Дата завершення
Apr 26, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 24, 2026, 12:23 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a near-100% implied probability for Helsinki's highest temperature reaching exactly 7°C on April 26, driven by Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI) observational data and hourly forecasts showing a midday peak of 7°C at stations like Viikki, followed by a steady drop to 4°C amid persistent northwest winds of 5-9 m/s and partly cloudy conditions. Current late-evening readings align with this, as solar heating diminishes post-15:00 with sunset approaching around 20:30. April climatology supports such cool snaps, with historical late-month highs averaging 7-8°C under northerly flow. Realistic challenges include an improbable sudden wind lull and clearing skies enabling a brief 1°C spike before resolution based on FMI's Helsinki-Vantaa Airport station data, but model consensus indicates negligible risk.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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