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Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 10?

icon for Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 10?

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 10?

26°C 100.0%

19°C or below <1%

20°C <1%

21°C <1%

Polymarket

$328,559 Обс.

26°C 100.0%

19°C or below <1%

20°C <1%

21°C <1%

Polymarket

$328,559 Обс.

19°C or below

$2,988 Обс.

No

20°C

$1,320 Обс.

No

21°C

$2,842 Обс.

No

22°C

$2,695 Обс.

No

23°C

$5,239 Обс.

No

24°C

$69,834 Обс.

No

25°C

$80,642 Обс.

No

26°C

$75,492 Обс.

Yes

27°C

$45,662 Обс.

No

28°C

$19,804 Обс.

No

29°C or higher

$22,040 Обс.

No

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) data confirms a maximum temperature of 26°C on May 10, driving 100% trader consensus on this outcome as the definitive highest reading from its official station network, where temperatures are measured at 1.5 meters above ground using standardized mercury-in-glass thermometers. Mild weather patterns, including persistent cloud cover from a recent weak trough and light southerly winds limiting solar heating, kept daytime highs below seasonal norms of 28–30°C. This strong positioning reflects skin-in-the-game alignment with verified observations released early May 11. Realistic challenges are minimal but could arise from rare HKO revisions due to quality control checks on secondary stations or metadata errors, though historical precedent shows such adjustments affect less than 0.5% of daily records.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$328,559
Дата завершення
May 10, 2026
Ринок відкрито
May 8, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Результат запропоновано: No

Без оскарження

Кінцевий результат: No

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) data confirms a maximum temperature of 26°C on May 10, driving 100% trader consensus on this outcome as the definitive highest reading from its official station network, where temperatures are measured at 1.5 meters above ground using standardized mercury-in-glass thermometers. Mild weather patterns, including persistent cloud cover from a recent weak trough and light southerly winds limiting solar heating, kept daytime highs below seasonal norms of 28–30°C. This strong positioning reflects skin-in-the-game alignment with verified observations released early May 11. Realistic challenges are minimal but could arise from rare HKO revisions due to quality control checks on secondary stations or metadata errors, though historical precedent shows such adjustments affect less than 0.5% of daily records.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$328,559
Дата завершення
May 10, 2026
Ринок відкрито
May 8, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Результат запропоновано: No

Без оскарження

Кінцевий результат: No

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 10?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 11 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «26°C» з 100%, далі «19°C or below» з 0%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 10?» згенерував $328.6K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку May 8, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 10?», перегляньте 11 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 10?» — «26°C» з 100%. Наступний — «19°C or below» з 0%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 10?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.